Weekend is going to be all about the warm front. I would not be surprised if guidance is a bit too hung up with the warm front and at least southern areas end up in the warm sector. But not a good sign when you see the sfc low weaken as it crosses the Great Lakes region. That's a good way to stall the warm front or transition it to a stationary front and we never truly warm sector and end up cool with clouds/showers. Uncertainty high for sure weekend and early next week...potential is there to get quite warm but need things to work out
llvl lapse rates may be steep enough to support gusts 35-40 mph inland. Also, the lack of rain farther inland and even potential for some cloud breaks may allow better than expected mixing (evident by the steep llvl lapse rates)
Can't believe its looking like another dud for the first two weeks of June for my friend and I. We had done the final week of May and first week of June from like 2009 until like 2019 then didn't get together the covid year and then bumped to the first two weeks of June. We used to have pretty solid success until recently which is why we moved back a week. Well at least during my second week of vacation is when summer classes start so I guess I can use that to try and work ahead
This weekend is likely more just showers versus a widespread steadier rain. There will probably be a narrow axis, however, where there is some steadier/heavier rain but that will likely be confined to somewhere in NNE.
In Enfield at my nieces for a cookout. Absolutely awful out. Wish when ours have held onto the weather we had in the morning. Wasn’t great but better than this