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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. weatherwiz
    hey they get plenty of days in the Plains with double the MLCAPE and nada because they capped out the fanny
  2. weatherwiz
    S NH/MA/N CT
  3. weatherwiz
    Going to be a loud night tomorrow somewhere in this area
  4. weatherwiz
    There may be a cluster of elevated storms tomorrow night tracking northeast across the region. Would be quite the light show. Then we'll have to see if we can bust out into sun on Saturday but could see widespread storms and maybe even several pockets of wind damage
  5. weatherwiz
    I am hoping we can pump 80's and dewpoints into the 70's into November. Can sit outside and watch football and hockey...that would be epic.
  6. weatherwiz
    This isn't bad for D3. I'm not huge into these products but assessing everything you can see the potential is there and when you supplement with this product its certainly a real signal.
  7. weatherwiz
    Saturday could be a pretty good widespread day of storms with some strong-to-severe storms
  8. weatherwiz
    Won't have any time to dig into winter analysis but I really am curious how this winter will go. I do find it extremely hard to believe though this will not be a well above average for much of the U.S. With how expansive the 28-30C waters are (and still growing) expansive ridging is going to be too dominant. Hard to see anything really combating that. Probably be dealing with a raging jet too...but with that, maybe we get something and we benefit in a big way from a powerful jet
  9. weatherwiz
    Instability pretty large tomorrow. Shear certainly doesn't look great so probably looking at some pulse type. Will probably see a ton of lightning in any storms and a localized FF risk where storms occur.
  10. weatherwiz
    Monday could be a decent severe setup too. Going to be an active several days in the convective department. Certainly going to start seeing some increased flood concerns too. Time to toss those drought maps
  11. weatherwiz
    I am surprised we don't have at least a marginal risk for Friday
  12. weatherwiz
    got a marginal just off to the west with the new D3
  13. weatherwiz
    #4 seems like it was already perfect as is.
  14. weatherwiz
    May even have some decent severe potential next week
  15. weatherwiz
    I'm actually not so sure we really see dews mix down during the day on Thursday. Well...I should say, not mix below 70. Probably would start the day 73-76F but mix down to like 71-72
  16. weatherwiz
    This month will most likely finish above average, especially if the signals for the second half of the month verify
  17. weatherwiz
    May have to watch out for a few (rather isolated) strong storms across western MA/CT late Thursday afternoon
  18. weatherwiz
    I enjoy his posts and discussions. Extremely knowledgeable and doesn't try to hype things up...just tells it exactly the way it is.
  19. weatherwiz
    Almost looks like a similar transition to the pattern we had a few weeks back. That is some ridge being modeled second half of the month...that is a massive area of 600+ dm heights on the GFS.
  20. weatherwiz
    Much of next week is going to be quite warm with high dewpoints, at least until the front moves through sometime second half of the week. We definitely encounter a period of around average temperatures with low humidity, should that western ridge become as stout as some guidance suggests and we end up with a NW flow. We'll see how long that holds though...may get one more run at big heat/humidity following that period.
  21. weatherwiz
    Thought this even looked good last Thursday or maybe it was Friday. Front is actually moving more quickly than I thought but when you're ripping a 40+ knot LLJ ahead of a slow moving front with sfc dews >70 and 850 dews into the 60's, PWATS > 2" and a totally saturated profile...great way to great prolific rain rates and over a large area.
  22. weatherwiz
    AWT
  23. weatherwiz
    Some knew
  24. weatherwiz
    This rain is insane. Can’t even take a shower this morning because there’s been thunder and lightning. Have to go to a doctors appointment soon too
  25. weatherwiz
    The big difference in this versus the previous setups is this rain isn't spread out over a long duration. This will be the type of stuff that produces 2-4" in 1-2 hours versus several-plus hours.
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