weatherwiz

How often have we seen things "cave" in this range only for there to be a trend back in the opposite direction inside D4-5? This very well could happen, we've seen it before this time of year, but this is an anomalous evolution with more than one feature. Any subtle difference in evolution could have a vast difference on sensible weather.

Let's not count our chickens before they shit. We're still in the range where there is a tendency for models to overstate some of these features.

ughhh what a HORRIFIC pattern. If that verifies I'm giving myself swirlies in dirty toilet water and get myself dizzy enough to where I become unconscious until June 1

Imagine if we had that look in August or September

Is it worth it? Based on from the features available I'm leaning towards it is. I saw they just added the ability to check view METARS and recently they added hodographs and there was something else really cool.

it has so many cool features. but I would definitely use it when it comes time to storm chase soon

Does anyone here have the pro 2 subscription for Radarscope? I'm super tempted to upgrade to it.

Also SPC mesoanalysos has it

I know weather.cod.edu has it but only for I think the NAM/3km and only for special sectors (they’ll be like green dots on the regional selection).

Think there was a brush fire on 291 around exit 4 on the eastbound side. Saw smoke and several police cars and fire truck…though I didn’t see any fire. Maybe they got it out

One more full day to get through

It's just annoying because it blows my pens off my notebook then opens the notebook and blows the pages...that is really annoying when writing. But at least it isn't a cold wind.

Its quite gusty here.

This wind is annoying...I don't want to locate inside though ughhhh

I could see BUF ripping a 60-65 knot wind report later today with those line of storms later on

Be even nicer out when these temperatures become the dewpoints

Can't believe May 1 is Thursday Just two more full days to get through

Nice out in the sun but chilly in the shade, especially with the breeze.

Yeah GFS has been quite consistent with that. I guess that period is either going to really suck or be quite warm given how close the warmth is.

Yeah that corridor should cook pretty well given the llvl airmass, lack of clouds, and strong mixing.

Was a super chilly start but climbing nicely, even from like 90 minutes ago.

You'd think we lived in the Tropics and that it should be raining every day or every other day

I mean I guess it depends on how that is being defined. We're getting precipitation but it just seems like its not enough to be beneficial to the region as a whole. Central New England is above average over the past several weeks while a good chunk of northern and southern New England are below. We are going to have precipitation opportunities upcoming...plenty of fronts moving across the country but our issue seems to be...and this has been the theme the last few years is we are struggling to get widespread synoptic driven rains. It's happened but just not enough. The other challenge with us when it comes to warm season precipitation is it becomes heavily convectively driven versus synoptic, especially late spring through late summer. Some areas will cash in and others will not. When talking about precipitation departures I think it can be very difficult to make a characterization for an entire region because of this (unless of course the departures are uniform).

I mean that is possible but there are too many timing differences to set that in stone right now. If we get any precipitation, it won't be much but I could see some showers and isolated thunder moving across much of the region Tuesday night. Thursday - Saturday should offer multiple rounds of shower and isolated thunder.

Tuesday but could be interesting across far western NY. Some big timing differences amongst guidance. Regardless though think it will be tough to get much say east of Albany. Would figure everything weakens rapidly given not much instability. A little surprised to see a D3 enhanced though across far western/southwestern NY this early in the game given differences.