weatherwiz

probably just showers as we don't really have any instability around.

It’s the plastic piece that protects under the car. It’s been broken but this did it in. I’ll have to rip it off I guess.

Well I found out what made the squealing

Almost died on the way home and not from the weather. Felt something crawl across my arm and neck and swept my hand across my face and look on my door and it was a giant spider...swerved and almost crashed trying to pinpoint it...thats when I saw it was massive. Luckily I had a tissue so I got it. also about a mile from home there was a part of a road that was pretty flooded...didn't see it until too late and my car squealed loudly all the way home.

Looks like Holden there was a brief TDS

not your fault. I probably typed in the wrong thing. It took me to conservation area I think but when I arrived to where maps said it was I was surrounded by trees and didn’t see a driveway path anywhere

Well my maps took me to the wrong part of Mount Pollux so I had to scramble. Best I could do was Cold Spring Coutry club in Belchertown. Terrible views but too late

I just got here…no view ughh. I’ll try mt pollux

Going to go to Amherst golf club

Maybe Amherst college has a great viewing spot?

Probably going to be too far north. Was thinking Amherst early morning but it’s tough to find a good spot. I found a great spot last year at the school but when I went there with my friend a few months ago I couldn’t find the spot

Ask and you shall receive

Might have been a brief TDS?

If I was with someone I would definitely do that lol. Otherwise boring alone

Elected to do Turners Fall airport based in radar evolution

I think I am going to go into southwest New Hampshire (Walpole area where my friend works). Thinking there is potential sfc winds may end up a bit more backed up in that area. But I am going to have to leave like now. Its about a 90 minute hike there

Thanks! I'm not too worried about being able to move easily. Once I pick a spot and location I don't really want to have to deal with moving and trying to get somewhere or follow the storm.

Does anyone know of any really good viewing spots in this area? Debating on what to do but time is a wasting. The area I would go in southwest New Hampshire would definitely be best but my worry is the best stuff will go from Berkshire through northern Mass, just south of the VT/NH border.

I am debating on going into southwest New Hampshire.

12z NAM has a pocket of 1500-2000+ J of MLCape across western Mass into northwest CT. That would be noteworthy given the shear.

Debating on planning to go to BDL later and shoot north up 91

We're going to need to get rid of this smoke so we can heat sufficiently and steepen those llvl lapse rates...that is going to be key today. But I think this setup is getting played up a bit too much (Eversource sending out messaging). It's a narrow corridor for severe potential and that is going to be highly dependent on if we can get heating to steepen those lapse rates up. But as cells develop and rapidly organize into a line updrafts are going to start to struggle (this is where the poor mlvl lapse rates will hurt and lack of stronger s/w forcing) and choke each other off. I think we may see two or maybe three separate swaths where wind damage (maybe a tornado) is most concentrated. First area within Berkshire County through central Mass, another within New Hampshire, and maybe a 3rd into southern Litchfield/northern Fairfield County Connecticut. Once you get to 95 this is where we see a transition to heavy rain/thunder with gusty winds along the outflow and localized damaging wind gust.

Checking out some soundings on the 0z NAM and don't see the funky profile in the lowest km anymore...so its much steeper with the llvl lapse rates. Hell this even looks better in terms of tornado risk, especially early on when storms are discrete and organizing into a line.

It will be interesting to see how tomorrow pans out. I don't think we're looking at widespread severe weather but maybe we see something along the line of a concentrated swath of wind damage reports focused where any bowing segments occur. Even with poor mid-level lapse rates, I think if we had better and stronger shortwave forcing that could yield greater potential for a swath of wind damage across the region. The greatest severe weather potential may also be early on, which would favor far western sections as activity develops. LFC heights aren't too bad, so if parcels can get to the LFC easily the initial storms could be potent with risk for a tornado. But I could see this evolving more into a torrential rain/gusty wind on the leading edge ordeal very quickly. Probably Berkshire County, Litchfield County, Fairfield County into western Hartford/Hamden/Hampshire counties for best severe potential...which matches up well with where the slight risk is.

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