weatherwiz

Won't have to go far either

could see some bangers around daybreak too

Yup...was telling my friend earlier, we probably want tomorrow to have very little in the way of storms with Friday holding the better potential. I wish shear was a tad stronger but I'll take some intense pulse type storms.

Even keeps that pseudo EML through Friday. The shear is meh but that's some pretty hefty CAPE for these parts (MLCAPE 2500-3000). But yeah tomorrow probably has some capping issues but that weak boundary could be enough to set something off, especially early evening. Friday I think may have a bit more potential for storms.

NAM continues to be quite interesting late tomorrow afternoon and now during the evening

Driving…too lazy and out of shape to hike

Won’t need to wear any clothes!

Going up Wachusett tomorrow!

It actually feels hot. I'm wearing shorts too...short sleeved shirt and shorts. I'd actually probably be dying if I was wearing jeans.

This is why technology is a blessing and a curse. On the curse side of things, there is no such thing as fundamentals anymore because computers can do all that. But if something were to ever happen say with computers and internet, we'd be screwed as a society because nobody would know how to do things manually anymore. When I was in high school I wanted to double major with accounting/meteorology. Accounting came as a mistake. In 8th grade it was time to pick classes for high school and pick two electives. Me being young/stupid was looking for easy. So, I selected a class that I thought was acting (the course code was Acct). Anyways, that class turned out to be my very first class of high school and I walk into the room and remember thinking, "umm this doesn't look like it would be for acting". Anyways, turned out it was accounting and I was the only freshman in a class with juniors and mostly seniors...I ended up sticking with it and loving it so all my electives geared towards business. But I enjoyed it...balancing sheets and ledgers, etc. Anyways, fast forward to when I went to community college about 12 years ago. I took accounting again...it was worlds different. In high school, we did everything by hand in a book. This class was all automated...all computer. My point with this long story is...even in the business world, I don't think anyone would probably know how to do a balance sheet by hand or balance a check book by hand if needed, computer programs do this stuff now. Kind of sad

I wonder if the K Index isn't widely used anymore just because of the advancement of additional tools and indices? Another one that rings a bell is the Craven Brooks Sig Severe Index or the SWEAT Index. IIRC, the K Index was actually quite decent. But now everyone just runs to supecell composite/sig tor parameter and looks at the hazard type on the SHARPpy soundings

All this MCS activity and convection along the front is causing some major model chaos. Part of the issue too is the degree of convection is so extensive that this will cause some big wiggles in the placement of the boundary throughout the day today and tomorrow. So it may seem at times the front is farther south and east that modeled, but as convection wanes a bit in the overnight the front position corrects back northwest a bit. Makes it very challenging on what to expect here in terms of frontal timing and placement.

That stuff makes me real nervous. I get real paranoid when being outside when thunderstorms start getting within a certain distance. That is one thing I think that would freak me out most about chasing in the Plains...at least here there is a good chance there are taller objects around you, but out there you are the tallest object

Could be those pulse type with lots of CGs and probably even some of those nasty +CGs.

I'm really hoping to get something out of this...even if non-severe. I am off this week and next week for my friend and I's annual get together for local chasing. One of these years we'll do out west but my energy levels are fading and I'm so tired of driving so who knows

Friday definitely looking a bit more intriguing. Shear is very weak so this isn't a big severe setup but could be good for some local microbursts and lots of lightning.

Could have some nice bangers Friday with good CGs. Lots of MUCAPE and steep lapse rates around

I'm out

what in the hell is going on...

These "big swing" days suck. 40 to 75...BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO. We need those high dews where the day begins at 73-75 and there is so much dew that you wake up in sweat. Save this for the desert.

So is it worth staying up for?

There are going to be several different influences on the positioning and speed of the front. Going to be a tremendous deal of convection (well already has been) between what’s been ongoing and the end of the week.

Yeah not a crazy setup for widespread severe but we would certainly see some localized severe weather each day I'd think.

Agreed with this, great add.

One thing to note as well for the Thursday - Saturday period is this is going to be much more convective so that opens up the door for some significant rainfall totals (at least locally)...models could certainly end up underdoing the extent of totals. Also, some areas will get significantly rainfall than forecast. Where the front becomes held up could be critical because there could be some major flood concerns up north.