weatherwiz

Taken at 3:30 PM EDT from Springfield

Had to lay in my back to be able to make this work

All this satellite watching and hoping for full Sun has me geared up for severe wx season.

Just went outside with glasses and can see it!

Thankfully not the same folks that are in charge of rebuilding the Mets

Agreed, only source that matters is USGS.

The magnitude estimates are all over the palce right now...

I didn't feel anything in Springfield but my I just told my girlfriend about it and she felt something. I was in the zone working though.

Isn't the Hurrell NAO method a bit better overall than the CPC's method?

Yup...those will take care of the damaged buildings

Well with how wet the ground is and how damaged the trees are, we're primed to level forests in 6-7 weeks when we hopefully get a derecho to blow through. They better prepare the power grid now.

can't upload without power or internet

For sure.

Agreed. That's why these snow maps and depth maps whatever need to be used with extreme caution. Sure they may "nail" some areas and maybe capture cutoffs and gradients but on the whole picture...they suck. Mid-level structure, evolution, lift, etc are all extremely critical at the end of the day and the snow maps don't factor that stuff in. I am curious what PWM is at right now. I know yesterday both NAM/GFS bufkit were yielding over a foot of snow at PWM using cobb. Actually even using max temp in profile wasn't too far off from cobb.

Do any vendors use cobb technique for displaying snowfall accumulations or is 10:1 and Kuchera the methods of choice?

what a f'ing disaster driving down 91 this morning. Thankfully I use maps so I was aware of the accidents and did detours but people are freaking ridiculous. Driving 80 mph and swerving in/out of lanes.

will you be pulling the trigger on any blizzard warnings?

yeah it shuts things off pretty quickly with the best lift north

Looking pretty good for a several hour period of 1''+ rates in Portland. This can sometimes be a bit wonky at times with snowfall but this would be disastrous when combined with the wind

That is very possible. I wonder if we see blizzard warnings fly with the afternoon packages

It is going to be wild in Portland and especially west during the early morning

yup going to be interesting to watch that evolve later on

Not too long until we start seeing those

This is why the P-type maps can suck too and not great to use. Given how cold it is aloft, combined with some dry air, it isn't surprising many are seeing sleet or sleet mixing in.

60% of the time I go conservative every time