weatherwiz

Signs were definitely there with the way they were operating this off-season. I think the signing of Geekie all but hinted it was coming.

I could never in a million year do what folks have to do to prepare for the bar exam. This is her second go around on the exam, she took it just before we met in 2021. But she got additional resources this go around and feels much more confident. But it's like 8 hours of studying a day for 2 months straight 6-7 hours of testing today followed by another 6-7 hours tomorrow

It's been a while since I've done a war and piece long severe thread. Going to make one soon unless someone else jumps on the caboose first.

If only every athlete had the demeanor as him. We all know that isn't the case and that's what makes breeds like him special.

Now that's a better tornado wind profile Although LCL is a bit high with an inverted V look which would reduce potential somewhat. anyways though, not trying to downplay anything. That is one potent s/w which moves right across the region with unseasonably strong dynamics. What we really need to watch are the lapse rates. H5 is a bit on the warm side (-7C) as is H7 (+10C) and this shows up well with those warm bubbles on the soundings. If we can get lapse rates even 6.5 C/KM this could be a widespread event consisting of swaths of wind damage.

I've always been curious as to how that "Possible Hazard Type" is calculated. I kind of hate it actually I mean that sounding to me doesn't scream tornado. The combination of speed/directional wind shear and instability do indicate should a thunderstorm become mature enough to utilize these dynamics it could certainly produce a tornado.

Bergeron announced his retirement so I may just cry under the blankets and miss the storms

Looks like the 3km finally caught on to today's convective potential

lots of warm pockets aloft though in that sounding.

Hoping that pans out.

Yup looks good for some storms today. Was waiting to see a marginal get tossed out there. Not sure I'll be able to get to BDL but I am remote today so it's possible. But my girlfriend also has day one of her BAR exam today and will be in need of moral support.

wow you're right...that's some pretty good llvl wind shear there. Also looks like we could get a plume of steeper lapse rates to work in.

What a difference between the HRRR and 3km tomorrow

Looks like some more flash flooders tomorrow

Friday could be something depending on the timing of the front.

Let’s go!!! Looks like worse will be north

Was taking out recycling and a cute little rainbow

Can hear thunder from Stafford from here. Outside playing with dog. May head in for fear of bolt from blue

hmmm wonder if I should head a bit east.

Hoping that cell over Granby blows up. Would pass pretty close or just scoot to me east

maybe a rogue isolated cell or two but should all be along/east of the CT River now

HRRR continuing to pound NE MA later on

Nice hook signature over Newington with weak rotation

Tough to say. Sometimes cells can interact and it can quickly induce rapid rotation. They have decent cores but nothing crazy noteworthy yet. Decent DCAPE and llvl lapse rates. 2-6km lapse rates though a bit on the weak side which may mitigate wind potential some and eep it more localized.

yeah have to watch closely if that strengthens any