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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. weatherwiz
    This is the heaviest snow I’ve seen all winter I better get up and charge my phone and work before power goes out
  2. weatherwiz
  3. weatherwiz
    Yeah they cooked. lovely here though! Heavy snow, looks like at least a couple inches!!
  4. weatherwiz
    Meso analysis (RAP) is ugly with that dry slot, especially across much of CT a bit later on. Even extends it north west into southwest NY
  5. weatherwiz
    Well hello GFS.
  6. weatherwiz
    Yes, right good catch. Bad typo on my part
  7. weatherwiz
    Well “rapidly” is really the key we’re still figuring g out
  8. weatherwiz
    That “ring” of lower correlation coefficient values reflect the melting layer. When the ring collapses towards the radar site, it indicates a lowering melting layer. When it expands that indicates a rising melting layer EDIt: corrected
  9. weatherwiz
    Yuck. Not good seeing ring the expand outward from OKX through CT
  10. weatherwiz
    This is not a good luck for the IVT and continued llvl warmth. Mesosnalysis (which uses RAP ) really torches 925. Going to have to hope for a very quick consolidation
  11. weatherwiz
    I just checked and saw CEF was 33 with rain/snow mix and I went outside and I think snow is mixing here! Maybe I can hold off on sticking my head into the toilet for now.
  12. weatherwiz
    I'm just doing to dunk my head in the toilet and repeatedly flush. It will be just like going outside except my clothes stay dry
  13. weatherwiz
    they valley is nada
  14. weatherwiz
    I thought I noticed that too when I was looking.
  15. weatherwiz
  16. weatherwiz
    Even the 18z NAM recovers for an afternoon pounding
  17. weatherwiz
    18z GFS bufkit for BDL. This is really all going to come down to the CCB. Sure the GFS may be "cold" bur when you look at why it's cold, it makes sense. It's tied into the duration of heavy rates. I mean if you're seeing a prolonged period of this much omega into the DGZ it's not only gotta rip, but it will accumulate.
  18. weatherwiz
    This is unreal...still no consistency.
  19. weatherwiz
    HRRR all over the place.
  20. weatherwiz
    Springfield
  21. weatherwiz
    GFS bufkit (12z) for BDL. You can see the dry slot make an a few appearances, but other then that when it rips it rips. Gotta like some of the trends for CCB to go across the valley. And FWIW GFS 2m is ~33 for BDL.
  22. weatherwiz
    Sweet a moderate dot right over me!!!! Whether it be a possible derecho or heavy, wet snow I always make sure to take time looking at the trees outside and wondering how many of them won't be there come tomorrow
  23. weatherwiz
    Exactly! We get screwed initially with the dry punch, but it turns out to be a benefit in the end. The evolution on those models would be about as perfect as possible for probably even all of Connecticut really. Hell, you could argue eastern CT could get "screwed" in the sense the band may lose some punch by then if occlusion happens quickly.
  24. weatherwiz
    IMO, it would result in big power issues. Obviously the shoreline is still cooked, but even the GFS has continued to tick colder with the BL in response to the increasing dynamics and heavier banding. We don't need 6...7...8''+ of snow for problems. Anyone getting 4-6'' is going to have problems and in this solution, 4-6'' is extremely reasonable for many.
  25. weatherwiz
    I'm thinking that if CT is going to get pounded there will have to be some dealing with the dry slot. Dry slot is a product of the developing mlvl center's which happens right over us, but once they're east...the CCB gives us Hershey kisses from the sky
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