weatherwiz

Just got a push notification from NBC app that Tweed New Haven is closed due to flooding

Tornado potential decreasing quite a bit too across western sections as core of LLJ now moves off to the northeast.

Things seem to be filling in from NJ through southwest CT. Some areas are going to pick up easily another few inches this afternoon. What may help is it's not a solid precipitation shield with some lighter intensities mixed in but there will be some significant localized flash flooding through the day.

Both

Yeah very much so.

western Connecticut may luck out but along and east of 84 it's going to be pretty nasty through the day.

Things are really blossoming over New Jersey

Got a little on the breezy side as precipitation has ended

May be a pretty good proxy but probably even farther southwest across southern Connecticut into Long Island. Really going to see radar trends over the next 1-2 hours to the southwest.

upper-level divergence should continue to increase through the afternoon as the core of the jet streak continues lifting northeast Core of llvl jet is overhead now and should remain pretty strong into the early afternoon with moisture transport maximized right over the region While everything was relatively progressive earlier the east trend has definitely slowed quite a bit. Really watching down across New Jersey where precipitation is filling in and convection is beginning to blossom based on satellite.

Tornado Warning north of Philly

Albany's radar seems to have picked up some relatively low CCs over Rocky Hill but don't think it's TDS territory. Didn't see anything popping on BOX or OKX

Watching this area of development. There may be a "lull" behind this initial batch (but things are filling in) but watch for this stuff to blossom as it moves northeast. Can't rule out some peaks of sun in between which would skyrocket CAPE locally

It is in a very favorable environment. Flow too may be a bit enhanced in the valley

yes it does. Quite a bit of lightning with it too. A good sign it's some healthy convection.

May have to watch around Southington, Bristol, New Britain, and Farmington over the next 20 min

Yeah there were some frames which had some pretty low CC's but didn't appear to be quite low enough to classify as TDS. But some of those velocity scans were pretty impressive for around these parts.

I really wouldn't expect much in the way of wind today. Actually, if you're happening to experience a sudden bursts of strong winds there's a solid chance there could be a tornado nearby Any wind though is going to be tied into any very deep convective cores or with any brief tornadoes.

STP is a 1 right over where that warning is near Lowell.

That's a pretty decent velocity signature. Don't see any signs of a TDS yet though

May have to closely watch that area for convection. Could be an opportunity for some initially discrete convection to develop within that and then it begins to fill in.

TORNADO WATCH!!!!

I think those epic solutions we were seeing are hinting at what the max totals will be but thankfully those totals should not be as widespread as advertised. All really going to come down to how progressive this can remain. LLJ is strengthening as we speak so we're going to see a greater flux of inflow too.

So much embedded rotation within this stuff as it enters Connecticut. Plenty of llvl CAPE with enlarging hodos

Some broad rotation just east of Danbury