weatherwiz

We watch next Friday

I think there is an updraft right over my head

These setups are tough. If you're not a forecaster doing day-to-day forecasting these setups probably just go unrecognized because they aren't the "big" setups. They are also tough because it's not like they produce every time. It all comes down to just getting enough CAPE in the lowest few km combined with the right amount of shear. There really is no "threshold" either too for value. Ultimately, it's dependent on whether a convective updraft can become mature enough to utilize the ingredients. But looking at mesoanalysis this morning, you had a pocket of 150 m2s2 of 0-1km helicity combined with 100+ J of 3km CAPE. That's a pretty solid combination, especially with LCL's around 500m. Warm front probably provided enough llvl lift and inflow was drawing in from the high theta-e air.

That has been a product of weak fronts really. But overall, I don't think we've had many major severe weather events which have occurred to end heat waves or break high humidity. Sure there have been a few, but for the most part we're dealing with pretty poor lapse rates and weak shear during those stretches...or when strong fronts approach stronger shear is lacking behind the front. Setups like today or going to become more common moving forward. Anytime we have summers with above-average SST's and are surging dewpoints into the lower or mid 70's with strong troughs with great shear moving through these setups will be several times occurring.

I went to school with the meteorologist on air there in the upper left. Good dude.

Big downburst likely over Stoughton

Some pretty strong rotation there on tilt 2

Definitely need to watch southwest of Mansfield.

That actually may have been the most impressive TDS of the few thus far, at least for a scan. Threw up gr lvl 2 and looked like maybe some debris being lofted a few thousand feet into the air?

He'll still meh it because only one tree came down instead of 3

looks like another TDS on RI/MA line southwest of North Attleborough.

looks like another TDS near North Providence

Maybe its a massive Godzilla sized wedge

I think this one was legit. The TDS popped up just south of Scituate and propagated NE with the circulation

150 m2s2 of 0-1km helicity with 100+ J of 3km CAPE...that'll do it

TDS?

looks like a decent downburst there

looks like maybe a little wind there too. Also not too bad just to your southeast probably

Noah would have really loved your neighborhood

There was a decent little circulation that passed over that area. Decent wind signature too around Putnam/Thompson.

It's a week out but next Friday has quite the intriguing look.

yeah I was going to say maybe lightning? There was actually a decent little wind (or rotational) signature that briefly went over Meriden but I didn't see any TDS with it

Over 15K without power in CT

Yeah pretty solid looking. Wish I was in Branford today, but if I was I'd probably have missed out on this by like 30 min Looks like the core of the winds though may be more towards Guilford/Madison

Looks like some big winds just south of Branford over the Sound.