weatherwiz

Per MOS/NBM climo is 64... but I don't remember if that is average for the whole period or the average for the current day (model run)

Well had like 90 minutes of mostly blues skies and sun...now back into doom and gloom

Turning out to be a decent afternoon, albeit cool. Headed to Hartford in about an hour for some Wolf Pack round 2 playoff hockey! Didn't go to a Wolf Pack game all season

I was hoping so, but getting a little nervous. This is a pretty impressive omega block and while there are some signs it relaxes a bit next week, there are emerging signals it may re-develop. And these intense omega blocks can be a PITA to get rid off.

Ha... what do the Mets and your cruisers A/C have in commin? Both shit the bed in the dead of summer

Did you accidentally pepper spray yourself and inhale the fumes?

Yup def hail

Well I have all composites (temperature anomalies, 500mb height anomalies, OLR anomalies, SLP anomalies) completed!!! I have this done for weak, moderate, and strong events focusing on winter as a whole (DJFM) and then looking at DJ and FM. I have a GIF composed of each individual year (and I've posted examples throughout this thread. But what I also did was create a composite grouping years together which I'll show below. The breakdowns are as follows 1) Weak EL Nino 2) Moderate EL Nino 3) Strong EL Nino 4) Super-strong EL Nino 5) Modoki EL Nino 6) EL Nino Forcing (this means that tropical forcing/Walker Cell was displaced farther east then usual, which is the tendency for EL Nino events). 7) Neutral Forcing (while the tropical forcing/Walker Cell has the tendency to be displaced farther east, that is not always the case). Note: Seasons in which the ONI or Ensemble ONI were borderline on the strength definition, I included the years within both sets.

That wouldn't be a bad ordeal for convective hopes

Just have to get through this week.

Rain stopped, clouds racing out, and finally some strong sun!

Still here Got violently sick after OT...I guess 2+ 9.5% beers don't work for me anymore.

I hope this happens everyone ends up with 3 feet

It's May and it feels like crap

Happy severe season Although after last night...don't care

1-day to go!!!

What a week down there

Ahh gotcha, my fault

Well this sucks. The site I use to make composites and custom climo periods https://psl.noaa.gov/data/atmoswrit/map/ doesn't have precipitation within the list of options I know there is this site https://psl.noaa.gov/data/usclimdivs/ but you can't create custom climatologies ughhhhhhhhhhhhh

I was looking at a different period. They're talking about Sunday into Monday night...I was looking more at Tuesday-Wednesday which he posted the snow map for...which I thought was like tuesday-Wednesday?

I was thinking about this some days ago then it seemed like the signal weakened. Just looked at the 18z NAM...good call, NAM has some decent elevated CAPE and even a couple hundred J of MLCAPE move through...could help with drawing down some stronger winds.

2-days to go!!!

Well we are certainly going to see a bit of a bumpy start to May (which is fine) but looks like we could make some big strides moving into the second half of the month.

Only a matter of time

Temperatures are going to be well into the 40's