weatherwiz

As long as we keep building high anomalies well into western and central Canada we're unlikely to see much in the way of cooldowns or anything significant with exception being northern New England. Unless we see some pretty significant changes during the second half of September we are looking at yet another very warm month with respect to climo.

Great point...you don't hear much about the lack of tropical activity or tornado activity...and the lack of tornado activity pretty much the past decade has been quite noticeable. We are setting records for like lowest tornado counts, longest stretches without EF5's, etc. Was just talking about this with Vortmax95 via email. When you look at how low of a lull we are in tornado numbers that is super impressive given the technological advances we have and how so many brief spinups are being picked up by chasers or anyone really. Same goes with cold...remember a few years back there was that pretty remarkable I think late spring cold stretch into the southern Plains...wasn't much talk about that.

This certainly is a major factor and something that exuberates these sort of events. At the end of the day we're probably our own worst enemy by building and establishing livelihoods in these high disaster prone areas. I mean look at how many people keep rebuilding along the Gulf Coast. I mean how many times do you need to see your house wiped away to realize that's probably not a good spot? I'm glad insurance companies are finally catching on.

Yeah...I'm with you. As much as I am an advocator of climate change and fully believe it's occurring and impacting climate regimes, it's also important to understand not every single weather event isn't the direct response of climate change. They are certainly prone to these type of magnitude events given where their located and influences by such phenomena as MJO activity.

It's beyond scary. It's like something out of a Sci-Fi movie. A third of the country is underwater...I don't even know how to comprehend that. But yeah...these type of 1:750-1,000 year events are becoming more and more common. And regardless of the reasonings as to why they're happening or whether they've "occurred before" means nothing...that truth of the matter is countless lives are being disrupted and destroyed.

OT but what the flooding in Pakistan is unreal....gut wrenching really. Saw some videos last night on Twitter. Those poor people.

Summer isn't going anywhere anytime soon. Sure we'll have some breaks with "cooler" temperatures and lower dewpoints as we near the transition season but the overall theme is going to be very, very warm and quite humid.

When long-term climate averages are calculated (such as temperatures or even precipitation (snowfall)) are outliers removed? EDIT: I should be more clear...are outliers removed when calculating the AVG.

Going to be an interesting September and October. I bet anything we'll be seeing at least a few tornado events.

Waters are definitely running extremely warm...that's for sure. Probably still some room too to warm a bit more. I'm sure there's going to be a time coming soon where water temps in the sound do get near and above 80 and that's going to lead to a lot of problems...not just with influences on weather either.

How deep are the sensors measuring? The surface of the water certainly may be in the lower 80's but how deep does that extend?

It certainly is always possible I'm sure to get a landfall moving into September and perhaps even early October, but I would figure with increased troughs/fronts you start just adding additional complications into the mix. Of course...you can always get a scenario in which the timing works perfectly of having a cane coming up the coast while a trough is moving across the OV. Would be like a similar scenario to what we had a few years back...and I can't remember the name now I think it began with an I?

Not well versed in SNE tropical climo but what's the latest on record we had a tropical system either make landfall (say NJ on north) or come close enough to bring significant impact? I would wager that our chances for a landfalling system probably diminish quite a bit moving into the fall because we start getting more frequent and stronger cold fronts so there would be a higher likelihood to deflect storms east.

I got attacked by white-faced hornets my senior year of high school. Was outside at lunch playing frisbee and I reached into the bushes to grab it. All of a sudden I felt tremendous pain in my arm like a stick punctured my skin. So I yelled and said I think a stick went through my arm…then I felt another pain…and another. It hurt so bad that I took off my shirt and was running around screaming. Meanwhile everyone outside is laughing and people inside the cafe (b/c the cafe had windows). Finally everything stopped and I think people realized something was wrong…of course my brother was joking. Their were big welts in me and I started to feel sick so they sent me to the nurse. It was a few days later they told me it was white-faced hornets and they said I was very lucky not to have been attacked worse than I was.

I hate melting down in summer. It means an event failed.

At least he had clothes on

Awesome vids! Great stuff.

I don't have sound playing from my computer. Almost looked like winds were swirling a bit too but that could be local influences

Wow pretty solid! Congrats

Looks like a downburst signature near Tolland IMG_9583.MOV

ehh the rotation doesn't look particularly tight or strong. It has a nice reflectivity signature though. Def have to watch b/c it could tighten pretty quick but I think shear (llvl) overall is just a smudge weak

Wow there was a 2'' hail report in New Hampshire earlier.

yikes...that's pretty damn scary. Should hopefully be able to depart soon

ask to get off the plane and see if you can get into a lift and get a better pic

The best viewing spot at BDL is a bit down from the McDonalds on 75. There is a hotel (forget the name) and an empty lot next to the hotel.