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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. weatherwiz
    Was thinking Naugatuck
  2. weatherwiz
    Just got to Newtown...but closer to oxford side. Deciding where to go.
  3. weatherwiz
    Leaving work shortly and headed towards Newtown!!! Make moves from there
  4. weatherwiz
    only includes Litchfield county in CT right now
  5. weatherwiz
    I think we got our watch!!!
  6. weatherwiz
    how many warnings fly before the watch comes?
  7. weatherwiz
    Past few HRRR runs amping up. Lift her up Dorothy
  8. weatherwiz
    Not sure how much longer that will hang around (models had it until like 19z) but if we can get those lower 70's dews under that...hello 2500 MLCAPE
  9. weatherwiz
    I took my usual 3 minute walk to the gas station during lunch in Branford...when I came outside I noticed an uptick in humidity....although it could also be going from the freaking ice box the gas station was to the much warmer outdoors
  10. weatherwiz
    TORNADO WATCH MAY BE COMING!!!!!!!!!
  11. weatherwiz
    Giving it another hour for that warm front to make progress
  12. weatherwiz
    I think it would help in certain situations
  13. weatherwiz
    I am so torn on BDL or towards Danbury...the HRRR really targets more towards BDL. In these setups I've also gotten burned too many times by not going closer to where the warm front will be...which of course I guess if the HRRR is too far north with that than it is with storms. I'm also wondering if this sfc heating can help drive wf a bit?
  14. weatherwiz
    ahhh but you do bring up a great point and that's actually a damn good question.
  15. weatherwiz
    I've never been good with drawings part of the reason why Calc III was a disaster for me
  16. weatherwiz
  17. weatherwiz
    the 850 warm front is certainly farther north but the sfc warm front hasn't made much progress.
  18. weatherwiz
    Well given the CAMS and short-term guidance I think we will definitely see some activity later...if we are able to generate the instability numbers which have been tossed around by some guidance it will be a big day. Judging satellite and upstream obs at least western CT to Hartford should destabilize quite well. Let's see if we can pool those lower 70's Td's in
  19. weatherwiz
    This is a bit uneasy later...especially with forecast of MLCAPE pushing 1500
  20. weatherwiz
    TODAY IS A DAY WHY THEY NEED TO BALLOON LAUNCHES FROM BDL...AT LEAST DURING SPECIAL EVENTS.
  21. weatherwiz
    The NAM does look a bit more impressive...the 3KM NAM has been super consistent too
  22. weatherwiz
    Another big key for SW CT will be that plume of steep lapse rates
  23. weatherwiz
    The HRRR does seem to always be a bit aggressive with pushing warm fronts through. Just based on low track alone I can't see it getting that far north...but doesn't mean severe wx potential doesn't exist that far north
  24. weatherwiz
    no change to the SPC outlook...a bit shocking. Sun poking here in Branford.
  25. weatherwiz
    hmmm outside of shear OKX sounding is not impressive at all
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