weatherwiz

hmmm not sure what GFS MOS is smoking. GFS bufkit supports 90 or low 90's at BDL

Wow rare time where MET > MAV. FWIW NBM is 93

It's the 6z HRRR (although lots of support from mesos and globals) but it's pretty robust with development tomorrow (robust in terms of aerial coverage).

Shear and lapse rates blow but could see some slow moving pulsers and gusty winds as cores collapse

I wonder if we can get some cold pool hailers next week

Probably should move that to the June thread and kiss the May thread good-bye.

Closed off system up through 250mb. This is ugly for early June for sure. Even if we start with some sun Sunday or Monday its super cold aloft...clouds will develop quickly. I think those QPF charts are a bit overstated in terms of being widespread, but there should be a narrow axis of high QPF totals. Maybe two different axes with one in upslope favored areas.

Is that 71 over someone's pool?

I know that Iowa State has those charts where you can see how MOS has performed but does anybody know of anything that does both MOS and NBM? The differences between MOS and NBM can be beyond laughable. EDIT: NBM was added into the ISU histrograms!

It was super well forecast. The Friday prior (05.29) we had a strong cold front come through which also produced severe weather. The cold front then stalled to our south. That Sunday morning, it lifted north as a warm front bringing rain and thunderstorms during the morning (I even think there was some severe with this). I want to say by 10...11 the latest we were all out sun and the temps and dews skyrocketed. I obviously didn't know what an EML was at the time (never encountered that until I joined the boards) but we had an EML overhead. I remember them talking about potential tornadoes on the news/radio/weather channel the Saturday before. You almost never heard the word tornado used up this way in forecasts lol.

NBM with 92 for BDL tomorrow!!

It's been a consideration

To a crisp

Hopefully not a bad wildfire summer in the US. With all these fires going on everywhere the ozone layer is going to get depleted and we'll have to live underground as we will be attacked by UVA rays and turn to lobsters

I was wondering if perhaps overdone, but there seems to be support. PWATS are quite high. I can't recall a scenario where we've seen PWATS increase from the north. Its over the top moisture advection.

Pretty decent QPF signal along the boundary pushing southwards. Not a lot of shear around so anything that pops will be fairly slow moving.

More 30's over the past few weeks then we'll see all winter?

It's coming

There is the track space! There was a screen in the garage which I was hopeful would fit bit it was too small. I’ll measure to see what’s right. I was hoping the price was less then that but oh well

Good night for beer pong although it’s a bit chilly out

I’m going to repaint on my vacation

Just a new screen. A screen that would fit into this so the glass door could be opened

How expensive are sliding door screens?

A friend coming up today. Thank God, he can help me install the AC's. It's amazing how how the house gets. Super hot when its warm and frigid in the winter.

Long-range GFS is EML city