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Everything posted by Floydbuster
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2022 Atlantic Hurricane season
Floydbuster replied to StormchaserChuck!'s topic in Tropical Headquarters
This is literally me everytime he posts::: -
Invest 97L--20% 2-Day/30% 5-Day Development Odds
Floydbuster replied to WxWatcher007's topic in Tropical Headquarters
06Z GFS has it scraping Cape Hatteras and making landfall near Martha's Vineyard on August 23rd as a powerful hurricane. 12Z is rolling out now. -
2022 Atlantic Hurricane season
Floydbuster replied to StormchaserChuck!'s topic in Tropical Headquarters
1999 still a good analog per CSU. I also remember tracking in the year 2000, and we had a very busy period with Hurricane Isaac (Cat 4 out to sea), Hurricane Joyce (poised to be a major Caribbean/GOM storm but fizzled near the islands) and Hurricane Keith (Devastating Cat 4 near Belize), and those were all around September 28-October 3rd. -
2022 Atlantic Hurricane season
Floydbuster replied to StormchaserChuck!'s topic in Tropical Headquarters
Yeah, I remember models showing a green blotch of about 1003 mb over the Bahamas for what eventually became a 185 mph hurricane named Dorian. -
2022 Atlantic Hurricane season
Floydbuster replied to StormchaserChuck!'s topic in Tropical Headquarters
I think we probably get Danielle sometime August 10-15th and my guess is it's similar to Hurricane Earl 2016 or Hurricane Franklin 2017, a Cat 1 minimal cane into the Yucatan/Mexico. Possible risk to northwest Gulf Coast. By the end of August, the switch flips and I think we start to see a fast burst of storms. One or two of them will be useless name wasters. -
2022 Atlantic Hurricane season
Floydbuster replied to StormchaserChuck!'s topic in Tropical Headquarters
I'll stick to my prediction of a major hurricane on August 28th. The previous poster said how unlikely it is, but usually by August 28th if we don't have a major hurricane, we have one about to form or in the process of strengthening. I also think the pattern favors more of an active October than we saw in 2004 or 2017, for example. I'm getting 1999 vibes with this season. -
2022 Atlantic Hurricane season
Floydbuster replied to StormchaserChuck!'s topic in Tropical Headquarters
So much premature naysaying here. I still think that switch will flip and once it does, the Atlantic will light up. In fact, I bet we have a major hurricane in the Atlantic basin one month from today. -
Invest 95L--40% 2 Day/40% 5 Day Development Odds
Floydbuster replied to WxWatcher007's topic in Tropical Headquarters
The slower motion *could* allow more time over water, but still only a moderate chance per the NHC. -
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I think a Cat 2 is very possible down there. The waters are boiling and the models seem to show a good upper level environment. As long as it doesn't race too fast or get easterly shear.
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Interesting that some models are showing a system forming near Texas, maybe a weak tropical storm. If that occurs, that could affect the ridging above 94L by the time the system would be in the Central or Western Caribbean. Another thing to monitor.
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2022 Atlantic Hurricane season
Floydbuster replied to StormchaserChuck!'s topic in Tropical Headquarters
Bertha 2008 was a Cat 3. -
2022 Atlantic Hurricane season
Floydbuster replied to StormchaserChuck!'s topic in Tropical Headquarters
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2022 Atlantic Hurricane season
Floydbuster replied to StormchaserChuck!'s topic in Tropical Headquarters
I remember Claudette in July 2003. A long tracked hurricane that never did much until the end. It slammed into Port O'Connor, TX as a 90 mph nastycane. -
New TROPICS Satellites Going Up Soon
Floydbuster replied to cptcatz's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Excellent! -
Dark and rainy here in Stow. No school closings yet.
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It's a whiteout right now in Stow, OH. Some of the heaviest snow I've seen this year, honestly! We're caught in a small snow band on radar.
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Lots of schools closed today. Lucky kids.
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So when are the long-range models showing another blast for NEOH?
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My sister measured about 9-10" in Cuyahoga Falls.
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This is gonna be one heck of a storm if this future radar holds true.
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Careful. Summit County Sheriff just issued a snow emergency.
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All schools starting to shutdown again for tomorrow.
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These videos don't do it justice, but we have heavy sideways-blowing nasty snow in Stow.