Floydbuster

Any videos out from the coast showing any impacts yet?

Helene is building, but I guess I'm honestly not impressed yet. I want to see a definitive, well formed low level center and get a handle on any possible Yucatan interaction. It doesn't have as much time as others to organize, so the longer it takes, the better for Florida.

I got the sense from the NHC discussion that they don't seem very impressed with the system tonight. The discussion to me read rather "meh". Surprising, given the likelihood of a major hurricane landfall. Perhaps I'm reading too much into it (literally).

Let it be Helene, Joyce or Kirk. No more I names.

These kids born into the post-Katrina world are spoiled rotten. I remember tracking Hurricane Season 2000 when I was a teenager. We didn't even heat up until late September with Hurricanes Isaac, Joyce and Keith. No hurricanes in July, let alone Category 5 storms. No hurricanes hit America in 2000 or 2001. The U.S. saw no hurricane landfalls between the day after my 11th birthday (Irene, 1999) and a week and a half before my 14th birthday (Lili, 2002). When you are a teenager tracking hurricanes, 11 to 14 years old is a long time. I had plenty of Caribbean action like Keith, Iris and Michelle...but no hurricanes between Irene and Lili for the U.S. coastline. These kids have had three hurricanes strike America within a few weeks, and they still cry. I feel like an old grump.

The ensembles of both the GFS and EURO are showing two systems in the next week or so. One coming from the Southwest Caribbean, threatening the Yucatan, Cuba, Cayman Islands and Florida or the Gulf Coast, while another system forms off Africa.

I just looked at data stations and the pressure gradient looks tighter than I expected with how sheared it has become. Looks like Francine has a solid core.

That evening convective burst might just send Francine over the edge into hurricane status.

What is with all of the trolling in this thread?

Wow nice shape, Francine!

GFS continues to show a wave leaving Africa in about 3 days or so, becoming a violent Luis type hurricane strike on the Leeward or Virgin Islands. Starting to gain my interest.

https://x.com/zoom_earth/status/1831684630858154451

We already have had one destructive memorable hurricane, for sure. Some years don't produce any. I'm quite confident the name Beryl will be retired.

We shall see. Still a bit north though. I really think the ITCZ being so far north is a big factor in why August was quiet.