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Floydbuster

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Everything posted by Floydbuster

  1. Yeah, I think Melissa is still deepening. Just a violent hurricane. 11am NHC discussion said the NOAA aircraft had to bail out earlier because of the extreme turbulence.
  2. Yeah I read the discussion from the NHC and there was absolutely no mention of shear or undercutting or even fluctuations. They seem to think she is about to bomb to a Cat 5 and they are forecasting landfall at that intensity.
  3. What a monster. Looks like it might do an ERC in the next 12 hrs or so. Not good, because then the wind field will expand further.
  4. Interesting. I never really look at intensity models once the inner core is established, because often times, all bets are off.
  5. Agree. Sadly, had it done this a few days ago, it might have slipped through the weakness.
  6. The models really seem set on a potential significant late season Caribbean hurricane in a week or so. Something to watch carefully.
  7. I still think 980 mb is pretty strong, and the outflow of 94L would be dominating against Humberto.
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