Floydbuster

Agree on the numbers, but 2013 didn't even produce a U.S. hurricane landfall or a single storm above Category 1 intensity. I never thought this year would exhaust the name list. Those years are exceptionally rare.

There is still time to have more activity, but I am stunned at how silent August was given the odds of such high hyperactivity, especially after a Category 5 hurricane in the Caribbean the first week of July. The 2013 comparisons are not well advised, given that we have already had a Category 5 storm, and two United States hurricane landfalls. Even if nothing else occurred, this season well outpaces that one.

Time to commit hurricane seppuku. I was wrong, unless the wave leaving Africa or in the Central Atlantic becomes a significant major hurricane threat.

I absolutely still expect a very busy season, I'm just curious after the waves in July that led to Beryl, Debby and Ernesto being so low latitude as to why it occurred so suddenly once Ernesto formed. I also think the MJO in mid September may light things alive quite a bit.

It is the ITCZ absolutely shunting and blowing waves apart to the north. What the heck is going on?

Sticking to this. In 7 to 8 days, we will be a tracking a system that will be a major hurricane threat.

That image is Hurricane Ophelia.

Once again, NE Ohio avoids the doom of the future radar. This was the future radar for Friday evening.... This was the actual radar Friday evening...

I discuss this in tonight's video update. I show the analog seasons and how most of the activity is at the tail end of August or later.

I cannot believe it has been 20 years since Hurricane Charley struck Florida as a Cat 4 hurricane.

That moisture envelope is insane.

Fantastic writeup. I should note, I don't remember such awful humidity for such a long period of time prior to last weeks outbreak. No doubt that added fuel to the fire.

I cannot believe this was such a historic event for NE Ohio. Governor DeWine has declared a state of emergency for the affected counties. What the heck made this so historically intense as a system? It was literally just a front and thunderstorms. Good grief.

Hmm that is a west trend. I was more confident about out to sea yesterday, but it is just too early until we have a system well developed.

Some are still without power! Crazy storm! Thankfully the humidity is a fraction of what it was two days ago.

That would be one heck of a beast for the Turks and Caicos.

...DEBBY MAKES LANDFALL NEAR BULLS BAY SOUTH CAROLINA... BULLETIN Tropical Storm Debby Intermediate Advisory Number 23A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042024 200 AM EDT Thu Aug 08 2024 ...DEBBY MAKES LANDFALL NEAR BULLS BAY SOUTH CAROLINA... ...MAJOR FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS AND WESTERN VIRGINIA... SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.0N 79.6W ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM NE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM SW OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES

1130pm Video on Debby for anyone interested https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BWBXgQ1kXA4

I was terrified of winds and power outages with that line that pushed down across Summit County, but it never really rained here, despite us being underneath a red blob on radar. Very strange.

I am a bit relieved so far as we don't seem to be seeing Allison or Harvey type flooding, but still a threat.

Thankfully that one seems to be weakening a bit, but the one offshore the lake looks nasty for areas east like Mentor.