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Jersey Andrew

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  1. Jersey Andrew
    Not a meteorologist here but models do not take into account historical data even though forecasters do. If models did so, few would have gotten Hurricane Sandy right 10 years ago. The problem is that weather pattern are changing and what once was a 1 in 100 year storm could be down to 1 in 25 year occurrence. Tampa has dodged many storms so risk is always there.
  2. Jersey Andrew
    Any thoughts on East Coast DC-NYC experiencing tropical remnants?
  3. Jersey Andrew
    Isn’t that the truth. 80s roll thru most of September now. Back when I was growing up in NOVA in the 1980s, we cooled off into the 60s and 70s around September 10-15. Summer will probably last thru October in the not too distant future.
  4. Jersey Andrew
    Summer seems to be lasting well into October these days.
  5. Jersey Andrew
    David Tolleris, a meteorologist from Richmond, Virginia who runs wxrisk.com. He used to post regularly on these boards.
  6. Jersey Andrew
    DT just went bonkers for hurricane season based on Euro seasonal forecast. Actually said get vacation insurance late July-September rentals. It’s all on his Facebook page.
  7. Jersey Andrew
    Superstorm 1993 also happened on a Saturday. 13 inches out here in Clifton, Virginia. I doubt we get close to that but 6 would be special storm.
  8. Jersey Andrew
    Are you the same PT from the January 1996 blizzard? If so, a pleasure to see you post on this board. That was the first true storm of Internet era.
  9. Jersey Andrew
    Well this franchise doesn’t deserve to be called Redskins anymore. Save that for the 3 time Super Bowl champs of ‘82, ‘87, ‘91.
  10. Jersey Andrew
    Sounds like an Arena Football League nickname.
  11. Jersey Andrew
    Has Chicago ever had a lake effect enhanced snowstorm a la Cleveland or Buffalo? I went to school up at Northwestern and remember the 20+ inch storm in January 1999 but no real lake effect machine up in Evanston.
  12. Jersey Andrew
    Having been in high school when two ice storms hit DC area in January 1994, I can tell you I want no part of that again. Snowstorm or bust!
  13. Jersey Andrew
    Damn right we loved snow growing up. Double Whammy January 1987 snowstorms and March 93 Superstorm got me into the hobby. The Internet allowed us to live our hobby in real time starting with tracking January 1996 blizzard.
  14. Jersey Andrew
    I’m fearful we’re going to pitch a near shutout. The only time things started this slowly and recovered in a big way was Feb. 11-12, 2006. One inch of snow in daytime followed by long lull, thunder snow breaking out midnight, wake up to find a foot of snow on ground and tree down on driveway.
  15. Jersey Andrew
    So jealous I will miss out since I left northern NJ four years ago. Boxing Day Blizzard 12/26/2010 was my all time favorite storm to track and here’s hoping this one exceeds it and approaches February 1978 levels.
  16. Jersey Andrew
    Why the difficulty in modeling storms in this pattern? Is it just an issue of new data ingested or something else?
  17. Jersey Andrew
    Roger, any similarities to this storm and Feb. 5-7, 1978 in terms of coastal snow and wind impacts?
  18. Jersey Andrew
    February 5-7, 1978. 2 inches in DC, 15 in Wilmington, DE. 27 in Boston.
  19. Jersey Andrew
    Can a knowledgeable met talk about February 11-12, 2006? If memory serves correctly, it was considered a long shot storm at first because it only had support from JMA. Was it Miller A, B, combo, or something else?
  20. Jersey Andrew
    Has DC area ever fared well in a Miller B setup such as this one? Looks like DT favors New England maybe NYC.
  21. Jersey Andrew
    Does this look like a Miller B 12/30/2000 deal?
  22. Jersey Andrew
    It looks like this system would bypass the Mid Atlantic states. Are you thinking NYC and Boston are best positioned for potential storm right now?
  23. Jersey Andrew
    Tip, do you think the DC metro area is in the mix for this potential monster?
  24. Jersey Andrew
    Blizzard of 1888 redux?
  25. Jersey Andrew
    Which would also be the 100 year anniversary of the Knickerbocker Storm of 1922 which blew roof off DC Theater killing dozens of people.
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