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Jersey Andrew

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  1. Went back and look turns out it was February 1979 leading into PDI storm
  2. When is the last time DC had consecutive week of highs below 30?
  3. That’s a massive snowfall for NYC and northern Nj. Does it account for sleet or fit the atmospheric conditions, storm path?
  4. Are these short term models like HRRR and RAP based on NAM or GFS?
  5. You don’t believe those higher totals do you? I’m afraid the NAM is right here and DC metro is 4-6. Hope I’m wrong.
  6. Tremendous storm with thundersnow. NOVA had one inch of snow in afternoon and I thought storm was a bust until lightning strike at 12:15a.m. And waking up to foot of snow and tree across the driveway.
  7. I worry about the twin ice storms of January 1994 repeating history. Our driveway was a skating rink back then.
  8. If all the models lined up in unison, it would be no fun. This is the great chase for 2010,2016, or Knickerbocker redux. The fact we have pulled off some monsters in our lifetime makes it more interesting to follow.
  9. Does this storm look like PDII type snowfall, sleet,ZR distribution areawide?
  10. How does this model differ from regular Euro?
  11. What about DC metro mixing over to sleet then back to snow? Still think this storm will be similar to PDII in that way.
  12. Never thought anything could eclipse 1996 in DC area and then 2010 and 2016 blew past it. Bob Ryan led the charge with 20-30” forecast in 1996. That was really the first Internet storm with SNONUT and PTRAVEL on the dial up discussion boards.
  13. Were Feb. 2010 and January 2016 easier patterns to produce huge storms? Did the guidance ever waver for those two?
  14. Yes we are here for the big chase. The next 1/23/2016 or 2/12/2006 or myriad of other huge storms. The past 20 years have produced monsters on East Coast. Just because we are in a 5 year drought does not mean cannot pull off miracle.
  15. Boxing Day Blizzard was an amazing storm to track. I was on NJ Transit train with my laptop when midday GFS came out and showed NYC snowstorm after other models were out to sea. Everyone on weather boards was in disbelief until Euro Dr. No said YES. We missed out on Feb. 6,2010 when my parents in NOVA were socked with 30 inches of snow. As much as we complain, NYC has seen some monster storms in last 20 years.
  16. Stunning changes to say the least. What is causing such large discrepancies?
  17. I was up in northern Jersey at the time and still remember GFS bringing it back two days before Boxing Day. Let’s say 12/26/10 made up for 2/5/10 in NYC.
  18. The one time I was rooting against snow. Scheduled to take 9am bus from Vienna up to NYC tomorrow morning to celebrate my birthday this weekend.
  19. Is this more a Mid-Atlantic threat in your opinion or Northeast too?
  20. Stunning how NYC has missed out on moderate snowfall last few years after blockbuster storms in 2010s. Down here in DC area we have fared better last few seasons. Still hoping for that January 2016 redux up and down East Coast. What do you think Don?
  21. If I remember correctly, January 2016 was originally forecast suppressed to south hitting DC area and only within 48 hours was NYC region in bullseye. Don’t know if it was PDO but we had a ridiculous number of blockbuster storms 2009-2011 of 20 inch plus variety.
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