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Jersey Andrew

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Everything posted by Jersey Andrew

  1. The double whammy of ‘87 left NOVA with 20 inches. At best these two events will be around 6 or 7. I’m getting more worried that our super February May not materialize.
  2. February is starting to look like potential train wreck especially with this jet extension.
  3. Is there any hint of the active stormy snowy pattern advertised on seasonal models?
  4. I believe the Boxing Day Blizzard of 2010 was one of those instances.
  5. Skilling deserves a monster blizzard before his retirement. I was in school up in Chicago for the 1999 storm and it was just a dream scenario for winter weather lovers: 21 inches of snow followed by -15 air temps and -40 windchills.
  6. Just having a flashback to ‘97-98 with all these massive rainstorms. It’s possible things turn around in February but that year it did not and we have to prepare ourselves.
  7. Do you anticipate an overrunning setup this year akin to PDII February 2003? February has been hyped as the real deal for East Coast snowstorms so trying to keep the hope.
  8. Lol 54 inches near St. Louis? I went to college in Evanston, Illinois and was there in January 1999 for the 21 inch snowfall. This storm would obliterate that IF it happens.
  9. Can anyone post a map of the insane totals GFS is spitting out?
  10. Does this have potential to break the 1967 snowfall record in Chicago of 23 inches?
  11. That could be massive disappointment for me in SW Fairfax County. I”m hoping 3-6 here.
  12. That’s quite a split in Fairfax County. Cannot imagine it winds up that way although I could see Reston and Chantilly getting more than Fairfax and Springfield.
  13. I guess 2/06/10 is not the top analog anymore.
  14. Started lurking during Jan. 96 near the beginning of Internet when SNONUT and PTRAVEL broke down that epic storm. Still using AOL dial-up at the time which seems like the Stone Age.
  15. Jan 2016 was first forecast to be DC-Baltimore special with only glancing blow to NYC. I was living up in northeast Jersey at the time and was stunned we got 28 inches.
  16. Question: What does top analog take into account? Pattern, progression, snow amounts?
  17. Actually think this hobby is so fascinating because of model discrepancies, biases, and disagreements. If they all agreed, would we enjoy the great chase as much? Gen Z will probably develop some AI that does away with uncertainty but until then enjoy the conversations and get ready for the Happy Hour GFS.
  18. Is their analog storm or pattern showing up for later January?
  19. Looks like a ton heavy precip events in next couple months. If we go down like ‘73 or ‘98 so be it but I think we will hit some big snow events too.
  20. Please tell me it’s snow for NYC on 10th. May be up in Manhattan that week.
  21. Interesting that Jan 96 was the granddaddy of snowstorms for you rather than Feb 2010. Jan 96 was 2 feet for me in Fairfax while 2010 was around 28 inches. Feb 2010 must be Knickerbocker clone for DC metro.
  22. Wonder if this will be a 1983 winter redux? Largely mild temps throughout January and February but just enough cold air to allow for monster Megalopolitan snowstorm.
  23. Does it appear the seasonal EURO and CANSIPS will be incorrect and that the colder and snowy turn will not occur later in January into February?
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