Jump to content

Jersey Andrew

Members
  • Posts

    239
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Jersey Andrew

  1. 10 year HECS intervals: 1996,2006,2016,2026
  2. Does this storm bear any resemblance to White Hurricane of 1888? Believe that started as rain too before heavy snow and wind slammed NYC and New England. Are 30 inch amounts plausible?
  3. This does not seem like a DC special but 2/12/2006 gives me hope. DC gets light snow in afternoon amounting to an inch and storm bust is called on EasternWX. Then around midnight thunder and lightning strike NOVA suburbs and wake up to a foot of snow and trees down.
  4. Boxing Day blizzard 12-26-2010 when Euro caught on to GFS and delivered a huge storm. Of course that was for NYC and New Jersey but u get the point. 2-12-2006 JMA schooled other models.
  5. Don, does the same uncertainty exist for the start of March? How about in the South?
  6. Maybe next year if Super Nino develops we can see a 1983 or 2016 type storm.
  7. Is this a pattern where we can pull off a February 1983 type storm?
  8. Wasn’t that-PNA responsible for destroying what was supposed to be an epic February last year? Who knows if you can trust long range modeling.
  9. A lot of people in here thought February was setting up for a 2010 redux especially with long stretch of brutal cold. Will we really waste the month if PV suppresses everything to the south?
  10. Went back and look turns out it was February 1979 leading into PDI storm
  11. When is the last time DC had consecutive week of highs below 30?
  12. That’s a massive snowfall for NYC and northern Nj. Does it account for sleet or fit the atmospheric conditions, storm path?
  13. Are these short term models like HRRR and RAP based on NAM or GFS?
  14. You don’t believe those higher totals do you? I’m afraid the NAM is right here and DC metro is 4-6. Hope I’m wrong.
  15. Tremendous storm with thundersnow. NOVA had one inch of snow in afternoon and I thought storm was a bust until lightning strike at 12:15a.m. And waking up to foot of snow and tree across the driveway.
  16. I worry about the twin ice storms of January 1994 repeating history. Our driveway was a skating rink back then.
  17. If all the models lined up in unison, it would be no fun. This is the great chase for 2010,2016, or Knickerbocker redux. The fact we have pulled off some monsters in our lifetime makes it more interesting to follow.
  18. Does this storm look like PDII type snowfall, sleet,ZR distribution areawide?
  19. How does this model differ from regular Euro?
  20. What about DC metro mixing over to sleet then back to snow? Still think this storm will be similar to PDII in that way.
  21. Never thought anything could eclipse 1996 in DC area and then 2010 and 2016 blew past it. Bob Ryan led the charge with 20-30” forecast in 1996. That was really the first Internet storm with SNONUT and PTRAVEL on the dial up discussion boards.
  22. Were Feb. 2010 and January 2016 easier patterns to produce huge storms? Did the guidance ever waver for those two?
×
×
  • Create New...