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yoda

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  1. yoda
    Ton of reports tonight https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=lwx&issuedby=LWX&product=LSR
  2. yoda
    Then brings another decent line through around 02z/03z TUES
  3. yoda
    Fauquier and Warren and Rappahannock counties under STW near Front Royal... storm barely moving
  4. yoda
    Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Buffalo NY 244 PM EDT Fri Jul 19 2019 NYC029-063-191915- /O.CON.KBUF.SV.W.0050.000000T0000Z-190719T1915Z/ Erie NY-Niagara NY- 244 PM EDT Fri Jul 19 2019 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM EDT FOR NORTHEASTERN ERIE AND SOUTHWESTERN NIAGARA COUNTIES... At 243 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Grand Island, or near Tonawanda, moving southeast at 30 mph. HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings. Locations impacted include... Buffalo, Cheektowaga, Niagara Falls, West Seneca, North Tonawanda, Clarence, Kenmore, Depew, Amherst and Tonawanda. This includes Interstate 90 between exits 53 and 49.
  5. yoda
    BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Buffalo NY 157 PM EDT Fri Jul 19 2019 The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... East central Niagara County in western New York... Orleans County in western New York... West central Monroe County in western New York... Northern Genesee County in western New York... * Until 230 PM EDT.. * At 156 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Albion to near Lockport, moving east at 35 mph. HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and ping pong ball size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings. * Locations impacted include... Rochester, Greece, Brockport, Medina, Albion, Gates-North Gates, Spencerport, Byron, Middleport and Oakfield.
  6. yoda
    Mesoscale Discussion 1524 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1238 PM CDT Fri Jul 19 2019 Areas affected...Portions of northern Pennsylvannia...western/central New York Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 191738Z - 191945Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...A WW will be possible this afternoon as storms move into western NY/PA out of southern Ontario. Marginally organized storms will be capable of damaging wind gusts. DISCUSSION...Ongoing storms in southern portions of Ontario related to an MCV have begun to organize into a linear complex over the past hour. Updrafts have continued to deepen with an increase of 50 dBZ areal extent noted on the MRMS 5 and 9 km CAPPI. The downstream environment continues to destabilize with dewpoints broadly in the mid/upper-70s F and temperatures rising into the 80s F. By afternoon, temperatures rising into the upper 80s to low 90s F will support 2500-3000 J/kg MLCAPE. Modest shear profiles (25-30 kts 0-6 km) will support marginal storm organization. The main threat with this activity will be damaging wind gusts as objective mesoanalysis depicts 1000-1300 J/kg DCAPE. Downdraft potential will likely increase as low-level lapse rates steepen as surface heating continues this afternoon. Weak low-level rotation may occur with storms interacting with the lake breeze front. Overall tornado potential will be low, however. A WW is possible later this afternoon. ..Wendt/Guyer.. 07/19/2019 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...BGM...BUF...CTP...PBZ...CLE...
  7. yoda
    Maybe this will mean we won't have to hear Ji complain in every winter thread... well, one can hope
  8. yoda
    A magical STWatch has been issued for us until midnight
  9. yoda
    Storms should improve in strength as they near the i95 corridor
  10. yoda
    Pretty nasty CG strike just a minute ago here Torrential rainfall ongoing here
  11. yoda
    Sun is back out after some torrential rain here... making it more humid
  12. yoda
    Maybe a small part of it. LWX AFD mentioned the following:
  13. yoda
    Sunny
  14. yoda
    00z 3km NAM isn't bad for tomorrow... has some good storms in C MD into Baltimore and into parts of S MD... has a line that looks nice -- yes it skips the DC region for those that are going to meh it... 01z/02z HRRR both have some decent storms over the mountains getting ready to move eastward... 00z HRRR extended was better for those in MD than those in DC/VA
  15. yoda
    You are def preparing for it when you said "eh it's okay for east of i95"
  16. yoda
    Already calling another bust I see... figures
  17. yoda
    So you are IN for tomorrow? Good to hear
  18. yoda
    Seems CWG used it today for the DCA high temp https://mobile.twitter.com/capitalweather/status/1145069932251680769 Ian says the high was 96
  19. yoda
    STW just SE of me for winds to up 70mph
  20. yoda
    BWI hit 97 I thought?
  21. yoda
    Hmmm BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1105 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2019 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... West central Madison County in northwestern Virginia... Southeastern Rockingham County in western Virginia... South central Page County in northwestern Virginia... Central Greene County in central Virginia... * Until 1145 PM EDT. * At 1105 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 10 miles southeast of Massanutten, or 16 miles southeast of Harrisonburg, moving northeast at 25 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Elkton, Mcmullen, Mission Home, Swift Run, Lydia, Fletcher, Graves Mill, Jollett, Aylor, Haneytown, Saint George and Shady Grove. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 3829 7870 3855 7852 3843 7827 3825 7857 TIME...MOT...LOC 0305Z 218DEG 23KT 3829 7862 TORNADO...POSSIBLE HAIL...1.00IN WIND...60MPH
  22. yoda
    It was out in Grant and Hardy... but was canceled after rotation weakened
  23. yoda
    Hmmm... maybe? Mesoscale Discussion 1238 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0617 PM CDT Mon Jun 24 2019 Areas affected...Virginia...Maryland...Pennsylvania Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 242317Z - 250145Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Isolated wind damage and hail will be possible across parts of Pennsylvania southward to Virginia this evening. Weather watch issuance can not be ruled out. DISCUSSION...The latest surface analysis shows a surface trough located from West Virginia southeastward into western Virginia with dewpoints ahead of the trough in lower 70s F. In response, a moderately unstable airmass is located from southern Pennsylvania into central and eastern Virginia where MLCAPE values range from 1000 to 2000 J/kg. Scattered thunderstorms have developed in the central Appalachians along the western edge of the stronger instability. In addition to the instability, regional WSR-88D VWPS show moderate deep-layer shear with 0-6 km shear in the 30 to 40 kt range. Although convective development will remain isolated, the environment should support a severe threat for a few more hours this evening. Wind damage and hail would be the primary threats. ..Broyles/Guyer.. 06/24/2019 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...CTP...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...
  24. yoda
    Tornado warning out in WV
  25. yoda
    Some pretty nice soundings showing up on the 00z NAM tonight from 21z MON to 06z TUES Pretty much last chance saloon for storms for next 7 to 10 days
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