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yoda

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  1. yoda
    At 4:55 PM EDT, 2 W Callaway [St. Marys Co, MD] TRAINED SPOTTER reports HAIL of golf ball size (E1.75 INCH). SPOTTER REPORTED QUARTER TO GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL
  2. yoda
    Looks like a hail core near Leonardtown
  3. yoda
    Looks like something near Mount Rainier? Or no?
  4. yoda
    Storm near Bethesda now warned
  5. yoda
  6. yoda
    Severe thunderstorm watch issued till 11pm for i95 corridor and east URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 392 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 405 PM EDT Mon Jun 17 2019 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of District Of Columbia Delaware Eastern Maryland Southern New Jersey Southeast Pennsylvania Eastern Virginia Coastal Waters * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 405 PM until 1100 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...At least isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to develop across the region late this afternoon within an increasingly unstable environment, with the potential for the strongest of these storms to produce severe hail/wind.
  7. yoda
    Looks like initiation near Harrisonburg
  8. yoda
    Lol too early to say that
  9. yoda
    They were as far south as the 1st row of counties in N VA (Fairfax/Loudoun/Clarke)
  10. yoda
    1630 SPC OTLK a bit more robust for us this afternoon re disco
  11. yoda
    Too late, you said TOR... so you just guaranteed a TOR day
  12. yoda
    Also looks decent for this afternoon around 21z-23z
  13. yoda
    Morning update from LWX AFD:
  14. yoda
    I thought Eskimo Joe would be more complaining about the Flood Watch in effect for him
  15. yoda
    From the 0100 OTLK from SPC:
  16. yoda
    Doubt they will even get here... but might want to watch the storms in W PA moving SE... have had occasional TW's with them
  17. yoda
    Interesting Day 1 and 2 updates from SPC... day 1 - today - is 2/15/5 with talk of cellular activity producing hail and supercell possible Tomorrow (Monday) talks about a potential bow complex coming through in the afternoon
  18. yoda
    00z GFS sim radar likes Monday night, Tuesday night, and Thursday night
  19. yoda
    https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1085.html Mesoscale Discussion 1085 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0948 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019 Areas affected...Northern Missouri...eastern Kansas...and western Illinois Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 362... Valid 160248Z - 160345Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 362 continues. SUMMARY...The severe threat continues for WW 362. Additional watches are being considered. DISCUSSION...Regional radar shows a line of storms has developed a weak cold front extending from portions of western Illinois into northern Missouri and far eastern Kansas. In addition, a fairly well developed MCV is now associated with the northern end of this activity, now tracking into northern Illinois, and storms here are beginning to bow out. A few reports of large hail (1-1.5 inches in diameter) and strong wind gusts (60 mph) have occurred this evening. Given the ample supply of low-level moisture (high 60s to low 70s F dew point temperatures), instability (1500-3000+ J/kg MLCAPE), and deep-layer shear (40-45 kt effective bulk shear), the ongoing storms should continue to pose a severe threat, particularly across portions of north-central Illinois where a damaging wind threat may be emerging and thus, a new watch may be needed. Additional storms may develop farther west along the front extending into southeast Kansas, and thus may require an additional watch here. ..Karstens.. 06/16/2019 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...LSX...DVN...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...
  20. yoda
    00z NAM NEST lights up DC metro between 22z and 01z
  21. yoda
  22. yoda
    Well then, the 03z MON sounding at KIAD is certainly fun to look at from the 00z NAM
  23. yoda
    Waiting on the new 00z NAM... but 18z NAM soundings were pretty nice for 21z and 00z tomorrow
  24. yoda
    18z NAM soundings look tasty from 21z SUN to 09z MON
  25. yoda
    12z GFS soundings for KIAD and KDCA and KBWI at 00z MON (8pm Sunday) are pretty impressive considering its 60 hours out
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