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yoda

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Everything posted by yoda

  1. Weren't the models more suggesting evening time for us potentially? Like 6 to 10pm?
  2. The 17z PIT sounding upstream looked fine to me... waiting for the 18z KIAD one
  3. Where's the quickest to see the 18z RAOB? SPC sounding page?
  4. Where's our MD? Should be interesting to see what the 18z SPEC sounding from KIAD shows in about 20 minutes
  5. Oh I know... just it's a lil laughable that the same places have been SLGT or ENH for 3 days in a row now. We dont see that very often in our parts
  6. Lol 1730 SPC disco sounds good for tomorrow... then you look at where the slight risk is and then you have to laugh
  7. Tornado watch coming for PA and NJ and extreme NE MD and northern DE
  8. I believe Eskimo Joe posted earlier that 12z IAD RAOB had convT of 89 degrees... so that's probably why the cap is breaking
  9. Blue box went up for Ohio into W PA and stopped there... maybe a red box for central and eastern PA in a lil bit? Just guessing as only PBZ counties are in the watch... no CTP counties
  10. Thank you for the clarification regarding the color
  11. 1630 SPC probs and risk areas pretty much remained same... 30 wind and 30 hail for N VA into PA including DC/BALT metro areas... only real change was the 5% TOR was moved north slightly from N VA into N MD
  12. Well that was fast after the MCD was issued -https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0290.html URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 290 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1150 AM EDT Wed May 29 2019 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Extreme northeastern Kentucky Far western Maryland Panhandle Extreme southeastern Ohio Much of West Virginia * Effective this Wednesday morning and evening from 1150 AM until 700 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A line of storms approaching the Ohio River will likely maintain or increase in intensity this afternoon, and other more isolated storm development will be possible across West Virginia. The storm environment favors organized clusters and perhaps some supercell structures capable of producing damaging winds and large hail.
  13. Off to our west in W VA -- https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0880.html
  14. Might be our first day of HX around 100... the AFD mentioned that as well
  15. Also decent SRH(near 200)... so maybe some embedded sups or mesovorticies?
  16. You sort of win... but its 5/30/30 for N VA and DC and MD into S PA
  17. Both 01z and 02z HRRR at the very end of their runs have storms exploding across the region around 19z
  18. 00z NAM sim radar keeps us dry all day until a bow echo or squall line comes dropping in between 00z and 03z THUR 00z NAM also shows some nice ML Lapse rates in the evening as well
  19. I'm sure this has been discussed in this thread already... but this is super awesome
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