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yoda

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Everything posted by yoda

  1. I don't know about cutting inland. Both the CMC and Euro were showing stout banana highs. I think we're either at a flush hit or being pushed south.
  2. It's better than 00z overall but yes... that h5 low out west is causing the s/w to not dig as far west as we want
  3. LWX AFD from this morning for the Friday into Saturday potential .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... High pressure will move east to allow for a cold front to approach the region during the day Wednesday. The front will bring a chance for rain and/or snow showers late Wednesday through Thursday morning. A gusty and chilly northwest wind will develop behind the front as a second area of high pressure builds to our northwest. Temperatures will be about 5 to 10 degrees below normal Thursday. Below normal temperatures will continue Friday with high pressure covering the region. Models are indicating a potential coastal low pressure system Friday night into the day Saturday. The GFS develops a coastal low near coastal Carolina, intensifying it but keeping it moving out to sea. Thus, leaving us dry with a winter chill. The European model shows a significant winter storm with wind and heavy snow for much of our region late Friday through Saturday. The Canadian model shows an elongated coastal low pressure system along the Carolina Coast. intensifying it and moving it northward toward southern New England. This would put strong winds in the east and moderate to heavy snow accumulations along and east of the Blue Ridge Mountains. We still have 5 to 6 days until this potential winter storm, so the exact track and intensity could change quite a few times between now and then.
  4. Looks like DCA gets to 0.35" QPF by 00z on latest HRRR... and sounding shows us flirting with some sleet... so I'm guessing that's all snow before... 2 to 4 before being erased by cold rain would be acceptable
  5. Um thanks? Enjoy this storm that you are getting tomorrow then while we enjoy the weekend storm if it occurs
  6. CMC had it snow 1 to 3 inches DC metro south and still showed a major storm for us. Euro actually had no snow (actually light rain) and had the monster storm... so I'm not sure it will matter... but I'll let someone more knowledgeable speak up on it
  7. Hi Eek! I missed your posts. Hope you are doing well
  8. Enjoy tonight's 00z Euro... all of us take re Day 6 into 7
  9. Ripping at 156 with 990mb SLP just SE of HSE
  10. Euro is going to have that quick wave that both the UKIE and CMC had at 108/114 CMC>UKIE>Euro re snow amounts on that wave Euro is more light rain tbh
  11. It's a miss but ukie sucks balls I meant after 144. H5 was digging and coming in... I dunno if it was going to be too late if it went out another 24 hours
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