yoda

12z UKIE is a coastal scraper for SE VA and E NC

12z UKIE nice hit... 1-3" for alot of people

12z CMC also has a weak Day 9 threat too

Return of the King

As in QPF? Temps? Goes out to 144... let me know what you want and I'll post it ETA: Oh, you mean like the SLP track?

Those ratios probably would be too low lol... 06z EPS Control has temps between 17 and 24 for just about everyone (S MD is in mid 20s)... pure cold smoke, so Kuchera would be ridiculous if there was one

Control goes out to 144... give me a second and I'll post it

lol 06z Euro Control is a monster hit for the entire LWX CWA

06z EPS is going to be better than the 00z run

06z EURO h5 at 90 (farthest out the OP goes... EPS will go out to 144 in a little bit)

06z EURO h5 at 90 (farthest out the OP goes... EPS will go out to 144 in a little bit)

Out to 81 on WB... i'll post the 90 unless @buckeyefan1 beats me to it

Sad

Hmmmm PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 204 AM EST MON JAN 17 2022 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0155 AM SNOW TONAWANDA 42.99N 78.88W 01/17/2022 M5.8 INCH ERIE NY PUBLIC ONE HOUR SNOWFALL BETWEEN 1250 AM AND 150 AM. REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

However, it would appear that the 06z GEFS would be much better than the 00z GEFS looking at the 24 hour accumulated precip and comparing the two at hours 132-144

06z GFS says thanks but no thanks for the weekend system chance

FWIW, both the 06z NAM/RGEM kick out the energy in the SW and don't hold any of it back at 84

I mean... this is nice already

00z ggem looks interesting for Thursday... just misses east for weekend but is very close ETA: Looks like it would be Thursday morning... but would be rain with 2mT in mid 30s but still... close to something

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 833 PM EST Sun Jan 16 2022 DCZ001-MDZ003>006-008-011-013-014-016>018-503>508-VAZ025>031-039- 040-051>055-057-501-502-505-506-WVZ050>053-055-170945- /O.NEW.KLWX.WI.Y.0003.220117T1300Z-220118T0100Z/ District of Columbia-Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll- Northern Baltimore-Cecil-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges- Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-Northwest Montgomery- Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard- Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford- Augusta-Rockingham-Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Clarke- Madison-Rappahannock-Culpeper- Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-King George- Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun- Eastern Loudoun-Hampshire-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson-Hardy- Including the cities of Washington, Hagerstown, Frederick, Ballenger Creek, Eldersburg, Westminster, Reisterstown, Cockeysville, Elkton, Baltimore, Bowie, Suitland-Silver Hill, Clinton, College Park, Greenbelt, Laurel, Camp Springs, Glen Burnie, Annapolis, Severn, South Gate, Severna Park, Arnold, Odenton, St. Charles, Waldorf, Lexington Park, California, Chesapeake Beach, Huntingtown, Dunkirk, North Beach, Lusby, Prince Frederick, Germantown, Damascus, Bethesda, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Lisbon, Columbia, Ellicott City, Jarrettsville, Aberdeen, Staunton, Waynesboro, Stuarts Draft, Harrisonburg, Strasburg, Woodstock, Mount Jackson, New Market, Winchester, Luray, Shenandoah, Stanley, Front Royal, Berryville, Madison, Culpeper, Dale City, Manassas, Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, Montclair, Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, Falmouth, Dahlgren, Warrenton, Turnbull, Purcellville, Leesburg, Ashburn, Sterling, Romney, Paw Paw, Martinsburg, Charles Town, Shepherdstown, and Moorefield 833 PM EST Sun Jan 16 2022 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 8 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 55 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of The District of Columbia, central, north central, northeast, northern and southern Maryland, northern, northwest and western Virginia and eastern and panhandle West Virginia. * WHEN...From 8 AM to 8 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will likely blow down scattered trees and power lines. Scattered power outages are possible. Loose outdoor objects may be blown away or damaged.

Stay safe out there URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 833 PM EST Sun Jan 16 2022 MDZ001-501-502-VAZ503-504-507-508-WVZ501>506-170945- /O.NEW.KLWX.HW.W.0001.220117T1300Z-220118T0100Z/ Garrett-Extreme Western Allegany-Central and Eastern Allegany- Western Highland-Eastern Highland-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge- Central Virginia Blue Ridge-Western Grant-Eastern Grant- Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral-Western Pendleton- Eastern Pendleton- Including the cities of Mountain Lake Park, Oakland, Grantsville, Frostburg, Cumberland, Hightown, Monterey, Big Meadows, Wintergreen, Bayard, Mount Storm, Petersburg, Elk Garden, Antioch, Keyser, New Creek, Ridgeville, Russelldale, Headsville, Fort Ashby, Riverton, Brandywine, Franklin, Oak Flat, Ruddle, and Sugar Grove 833 PM EST Sun Jan 16 2022 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 8 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of western Maryland, central, northwest and western Virginia and eastern West Virginia. * WHEN...From 8 AM to 8 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down numerous trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive.

Well that's interesting