Superstorm93

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Everything posted by Superstorm93

  1. Few hours old now, but it did try. Shear and dry air seem to be holding it back for now.
  2. Very interesting. What's the data source for those plots? Obviously the UWISC shear plots have <5 knots of shear...
  3. Great point by Andy. It's certainly been having trouble so far getting convection on the NW side
  4. Looks like they flew to the south. Could be avoiding some nasty turbulence
  5. Vortex is certainly still tilted from N-S, but it should relax throughout the day
  6. That 76 knot VDM certainly caught me off guard 184 URNT12 KWBC 251406 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL132020 A. 25/13:07:20Z B. 23.49 deg N 086.36 deg W C. NA D. 991 mb E. 300 deg 09 kt F. NA G. NA H. 76 kt I. 187 deg 66 nm 12:50:58Z J. 223 deg 51 kt K. 180 deg 102 nm 12:41:51Z L. 56 kt M. 359 deg 45 nm 13:18:02Z N. 106 deg 69 kt O. 359 deg 52 nm 13:19:44Z P. 12 C / 2449 m Q. 17 C / 2447 m R. 13 C / NA S. 1345 / NA T. 0.01 / 1 nm U. NOAA2 1713A LAURA OB 16 MAX FL WIND 69 KT 359 / 52 NM 13:19:44Z
  7. A. Time of Center Fix: 25th day of the month at 13:07:20Z B. Center Fix Coordinates: 23.49N 86.36W B. Center Fix Location: 298 statute miles (480 km) to the WSW (256°) from Key West, FL, USA. C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: Not Available D. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 991mb (29.27 inHg) E. Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 300° at 9kts (From the WNW at 10mph) F. Eye Character: Not Available G. Eye Shape: Not Available H. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 76kts (87.5mph) I. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 66 nautical miles (76 statute miles) to the S (187°) of center fix at 12:50:58Z J. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 223° at 51kts (From the SW at 58.7mph) K. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 102 nautical miles (117 statute miles) to the S (180°) of center fix at 12:41:51Z L. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 56kts (64.4mph) M. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 45 nautical miles (52 statute miles) to the N (359°) of center fix at 13:18:02Z N. Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: From 106° at 69kts (From the ESE at 79.4mph) O. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 52 nautical miles (60 statute miles) to the N (359°) of center fix at 13:19:44Z P. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 12°C (54°F) at a pressure alt. of 2,449m (8,035ft) Q. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 17°C (63°F) at a pressure alt. of 2,447m (8,028ft) R. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 13°C (55°F) R. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available S. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Wind, Pressure and Temperature S. Fix Level: Other - Not surface, 1500ft, 925mb, 850mb, 700mb, 500mb, 400mb, 300mb or 200mb T. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.01 nautical miles T. Meteorological Accuracy: 1 nautical mile
  8. Pulling AWIPS out for you guys... Staring to see some transverse banding on the northern side of the circulation
  9. Looks like AF300 is having some transmission issues
  10. Those towers are really wrapping themselves around the core. We may see some more initial intensification than previously thought.
  11. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=continental-conus-13-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
  12. Some uncontaminated 65 knot readings in the NE pass
  13. We're about to get a nice NE eyewall pass soon. Convection is exploding in that region so it's probably going to be a bumpy ride
  14. Dropsonde splashed at 992mb with 14 knot winds Could argue pressure is down to 991