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Superstorm93

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Superstorm93

  1. Portion of the eye now completely out of the 5 AM track
  2. Still have a good 18 hours before shear starts to degrade the core
  3. Good amount of lightning now as well
  4. My biggest fear is that land interaction will induce an EWRC. We don't need to expand the winds.
  5. Full GFS track. I really hope we see this shift west tomorrow.
  6. Really, really weird call raising the intensity to 85 knots right before you have two recon planes in the storm. Oh well. We'll see how that works out I suppose.
  7. 18z SHIPS continues to insist that Ian will become a Category 4 hurricane by tomorrow.
  8. The banding structure is incredible with Ian this afternoon. While the storm has ingested some dry air, I would guess that the bursts near the core have at least dropped the central pressure a few millibars since the last fix. I would expect the storm to resume a rather quick pace of intensification overnight as it nears the Cuban coast.
  9. I mean, it kind of makes sense. Steering breaks down due to the high, but the UL jet wants to keep the system moving to the east.
  10. Looks like it took a shot of dry air before. Latest burst should take care of that
  11. IR continues to dramatically improve. Should be a big day.
  12. CAMS are not able to handle tropical systems. They should never be used for track or intensity.
  13. Hell of a time to have two recon planes in a rapidly intensifying hurricane
  14. IR isn't spectacular with the heaviest convection once again located outside of the RMW
  15. Same deal as 5 AM this morning. All it will take is a few towers in the core. Then, it's just a matter of how much this piles up surge during the next several days.
  16. Mission inbound from Florida now. Should hopefully give us some better insight as to how this system has faired throughout the course of the day.
  17. Model that has been historically poor in the Caribbean continues to perform poorly in the Caribbean.
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