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Superstorm93

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Everything posted by Superstorm93

  1. Superstorm93
    End of the HRRR was gearing up for a pretty decent flooding event across the NYC metro on Friday. Kind of like a Norlun...but with 1.6" PWATS
  2. Superstorm93
    38th anniversary of Gloria Extremely similar track to Irene back in 2011
  3. Superstorm93
    I mean a rapidly intensifying hurricane in the Gulf deserves some level of hype. We're very lucky with how things panned out and I'd rather have increased awareness that leads to a relatively low death toll than the opposite... If you want to talk about unnecessary hype then Lee is a storm that was blown way the hell out of proportion.
  4. Superstorm93
    Pretty wild how well some of the seasonal forecast models performed this year. The enhanced activity from the MDR and into the sub-tropics was pretty much nailed from the start of the season.
  5. Superstorm93
    UKMET seasonal mean continues the theme of an active second half of the season +AN Precip and BN SLP across much of the MDR I think there's enough of a signal from the global means to assume that we'll have elevated areas of activity across the deep tropics, with somewhat reduced cyclone frequency in the Caribbean and Gulf. Obviously, it's impossible to say with confidence that the aforementioned areas will be "dead", but it'll certainly be quite interesting to watch things play out.
  6. Superstorm93
    The C3S is basically a "super ensemble" of all the global statistical climate models. The actual Euro seasonal came out last week.
  7. Superstorm93
    The new Euro seasonal model continues to show an exceptionally active remainder of the season. Little skeptical, but it's going to be rather interesting to watch this unfold over the next two months. I suppose we could rack up some ACE with several long-tracked Cape Verde storms if we have more intra-seasonal forcing than the giant WP standing wave,
  8. Superstorm93
    Taking a good deal of mid-level shear, which is also helping to entrain dry air from the west into the circulation. The odds have increased substantially that this will indeed be a victim of the graveyard.
  9. Superstorm93
    Been watching this stuff since 2006 and I can't recall a June where this was already this much activity in the East Atlantic We're going to need to bump seasonal predictions up quite a bit if this becomes a trend.
  10. Superstorm93
    Shallow but consistent convection has really done its job to help organize the circulation. I'd imagine this is a depression by early Monday
  11. Superstorm93
    13/7/2
  12. Superstorm93
    Quite possibly the dullest May I can remember in the last 10+ years. Haven't even had a lightning strike since April over here.
  13. Superstorm93
    42 degrees and drizzle Beautiful Spring day out
  14. Superstorm93
    Thanks! Where exactly in the Bronx? Trying to get an idea of where the gradient set up!
  15. Superstorm93
    500 trends have been flatter, but you guys have the latitude to play with this go around. Overrunning and the secondary low (if the primary dies fast enough)
  16. Superstorm93
    Really like this signal for you guys. Hoping you can cash in big time with the overrunning and potential secondary low. Ski resorts need some loving.
  17. Superstorm93
    Assuming nothings sticking to pavements there?
  18. Superstorm93
    Was just about to ask if anyone saw anything with that high Z/low CC band that moved through...
  19. Superstorm93
    We need a thread for tulips and early tree blooms for mid-late Feb
  20. Superstorm93
    Unhappy hour model bad
  21. Superstorm93
    New snow or depth? Trying to get a grasp of what this event did up there
  22. Superstorm93
    Anyone have any good obs/pics out of Harrisburg?
  23. Superstorm93
    Awesome. Keep the pics coming.
  24. Superstorm93
    Nice! How are the flakes?
  25. Superstorm93
    Some nice indies in there considering the OP was a mud storm
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