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mob1

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Everything posted by mob1

  1. mob1
    Pouring rain here and winds picking up. 1.16" so far. JFK gusting to 44 mph at the top of the hour.
  2. mob1
    Been raining pretty good for the last hour, quickly moved past an inch.
  3. mob1
    HRRR keeps delaying the stronger winds and now only has it tomorrow morning for a brief period. Either way, it looks like the rain bands coming off the ocean now are a bit steadier than the ones we've had all day and models have an additional inch for many of us.
  4. mob1
    HRRR has an extended period (4-6 hours or so) of spotty showers and then steadier rain moves back in a bit later tonight. As for winds, it should increase a bit as well as the low moves up and occludes (nothing to write home about though).
  5. mob1
    Winds starting to crank a bit as it switches direction.
  6. mob1
    0.39" and counting here. HRRR has an additional 1-1.5" for the city east (as well as the immediate western burbs) which coupled with yesterday's rain is decent after the recent dry spell.
  7. mob1
    Moderate rain here but winds are nothing special. Was at Belle Harbor earlier and the waves were pretty large (though nothing too crazy).
  8. mob1
    Duration and strength of winds also increased a bit.
  9. mob1
    ICON and RGEM both look abysmal
  10. mob1
    NAM doubles down
  11. mob1
    To each his own. Either way, the weather has been exceedingly boring for a while now so it kind of sucks that any semblance of excitement the models showed is gone now. Here's to an amazing winter.
  12. mob1
    That 6 inch jackpot on the Jersey coast will likely go down to 5.9"
  13. mob1
    Same here, though that's the likely outcome (or maybe even worse). It is what it is, at least it didn't happen with a snowstorm or hurricane.
  14. mob1
    Euro has like nothing for us.
  15. mob1
    At least it's for a rain (and wind) event.
  16. mob1
    UKIE is light rain for the area. It's comically dry (though not necessarily wrong).
  17. mob1
    I think the 6Z Euro is the most exciting solution for now, it has very little Sunday but the secondary low on Monday is consolidated and brings moderate to heavy rain with strong winds. Some of the other models have more rain on Sunday but the entire event is more drawn out and it's light to moderate rain with decent winds.
  18. mob1
    CMC is a total snoozefest.
  19. mob1
    GFS remains 1-2" areawide with solid winds for the coast.
  20. mob1
    ICON also has the heaviest rain near Boston and gives us about an inch (though more for the Hudson Valley).
  21. mob1
  22. mob1
    I was referring to the area of convection over SE New England. Those often rob the dynamics of the low. RGEM therefore destroys the Boston area.
  23. mob1
    We'll have to watch over the next day or so if the models chasing convection to the NE of the main low are real or convective feedback. Models sometimes do it at this range only to consolidate it as we get close, and sometimes it makes that area the main low and robs all dynamics of the main storm. All options still on the table, but I'm leaning towards a milder event.
  24. mob1
    This would be fun
  25. mob1
    I'd love to see the weenie gust maps for this.
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