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mob1

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Everything posted by mob1

  1. mob1
    Yeah, it's pretty much always the case.
  2. mob1
    You're so far from any level being even remotely close to freezing
  3. mob1
    3K NAM shift
  4. mob1
    I kind of like sleet, has some serious staying power (not that it matters much this time, there's a driving rainstorm just a few days later). 3K with a solid shift south as well
  5. mob1
    Pretty decent shift south on the NAM
  6. mob1
    Was it maybe February 2010? That was an insane storm with NYC getting 20" of snow but it was pouring in upstate NY just east of the Catskills. I went to Belleayre that week and they got 63 inches or so (I think Plattekill topped 6 feet).
  7. mob1
    HRRR moved north from 06Z but is still amazing verbatim
  8. mob1
    Through 40
  9. mob1
    I secretly hope we get no snow on Friday just because of how annoying Anthony gets every time someone rightly points out a cause for concern. Just spreading some Holiday joy
  10. mob1
    Yep
  11. mob1
    It's still acceptable verbatim for most (though not all), but trends are very concerning. It's not just the placement of the low, the block shifted a bit east, allowing the HP to escape a bit more NE and the primary low gets further NE before sliding SE. Still time to course correct, but these are the type of things that fundamentally change the whole setup.
  12. mob1
    RGEM got a bit warmer as well
  13. mob1
    18Z for reference
  14. mob1
    Looks incredible verbatim but it also shifted significantly north from its previous run.
  15. mob1
    Getting d'MAN Let's see what the rest of the 0Z suite shows.
  16. mob1
    I'll be in Killington on Sunday, which would take away some of the sting if this verifies.
  17. mob1
    That's the precipitation rate (of sleet in this case)
  18. mob1
    Goodness
  19. mob1
    My God
  20. mob1
    NAM with a big (and I mean big) shift north.
  21. mob1
    Looks like NAM will come north, but I'm more interested in the precipitation distribution and intensity. Edit; it's actually a pretty big shift.
  22. mob1
    One cool thing about this storm (regardless of the precipitation distribution or how far north the mid level warm tongue gets) is just how cold it is in the source region. Those northerly winds should keep us plenty cold.
  23. mob1
    The weather will do what it does, and if we can't get the goods, at least people in this subforum will. It's fine to be cautious, can't imagine why you always take it as a personal insult. You've been let down thousands of times, throw a little caution to the wind from time to time. Either way, love the evolution of the storm since getting snow from a storm moving SE around the periphery of a HP/block is so highly anomalous.
  24. mob1
    Getting a little dicey down here
  25. mob1
    No, I'm loving it. Just pointing out that at this point rather small trends can have a huge impact.
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