 
        mob1
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Everything posted by mob1
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	Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfallmob1 replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters Recon is going in on a SE to NW pass
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	Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfallmob1 replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters All kidding aside, they're already gusting past 60 mph there.
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	Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfallmob1 replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters There's supposed to be one, but it's been going in circles next to Haiti so I'm not sure what's happening.
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	Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfallmob1 replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters 
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	Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfallmob1 replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters Very possible. It takes a LOT to build (and in this case rebuild) a hurricane's core and it's fairly easy to get faked out by warm spots on IR. Even that radar isn't exactly the greatest resolution (and whatever that clearing is, it's very far from the radar site) so it can easily be a displaced MLC. I don't think it's the case though. We'll see from the recon if there are any pressure falls or if the inner structure has improved a bit from the last recon. It's starting to look fairly healthy on IR and radar so it'll be interesting.
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	Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfallmob1 replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters That pass was a while ago though, and those radar images (especially the last frame that shows an attempt at building an eye) is from mere moments ago. There's another plane enroute so we'll know soon.
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	Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfallmob1 replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters 
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	Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfallmob1 replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters The mountains of Jamaica are still squeezing out some serious moisture from Melissa, flooding must be really bad there.
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	Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfallmob1 replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters That stream looks intense, and they're likely a bit east of the strongest winds.
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	Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfallmob1 replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters Recon recorded 173 KT flight level winds. Insane.
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	Pouring rain here and winds picking up. 1.16" so far. JFK gusting to 44 mph at the top of the hour.
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	Been raining pretty good for the last hour, quickly moved past an inch.
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	HRRR keeps delaying the stronger winds and now only has it tomorrow morning for a brief period. Either way, it looks like the rain bands coming off the ocean now are a bit steadier than the ones we've had all day and models have an additional inch for many of us.
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	HRRR has an extended period (4-6 hours or so) of spotty showers and then steadier rain moves back in a bit later tonight. As for winds, it should increase a bit as well as the low moves up and occludes (nothing to write home about though).
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	Winds starting to crank a bit as it switches direction.
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	0.39" and counting here. HRRR has an additional 1-1.5" for the city east (as well as the immediate western burbs) which coupled with yesterday's rain is decent after the recent dry spell.
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	Moderate rain here but winds are nothing special. Was at Belle Harbor earlier and the waves were pretty large (though nothing too crazy).
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	Duration and strength of winds also increased a bit.
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	To each his own. Either way, the weather has been exceedingly boring for a while now so it kind of sucks that any semblance of excitement the models showed is gone now. Here's to an amazing winter.
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	That 6 inch jackpot on the Jersey coast will likely go down to 5.9"
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	Same here, though that's the likely outcome (or maybe even worse). It is what it is, at least it didn't happen with a snowstorm or hurricane.
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