mob1
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Everything posted by mob1
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GFS in the early going doesn't look great
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The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
mob1 replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Entire ridge axis is shifted a bit east on the GFS, so even though the trough is further along in the process of going neutral, the overall look isn't great. Flatter ridge out west as well. -
5-7 for the south form out to Montauk. Still honestly close enough to trend towards a few inches for the city but after 0Z tonight if it still looks like this it's likely not happening.
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GFS shows quite the storm off OBX. Too far east for us, but highlights the potential.
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Holy crap at the Euro, just wow!
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Latest HRRR shows that temps should start dropping now from west to east.
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That's always been the case. NYC saw similar totals to BWI, and a decent amount of it was sleet as well (probably 2-3 inches).
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Hope it warms up then. NYC is still at 20 degrees at the hourly update.
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One last burst of sleet here and the backend looks very near.
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They were always slated to get that much, the discussion is more about the borderline areas.
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NYC finally hit 20 degrees, with JFK sitting at 22. I'm assuming both will stay below freezing but am less sure about JFK once the coastal makes its closest pass.
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Radar has legitimately looked like this for an hour straight.
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What did DCA report at 7?
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It least it wasn't a massive difference like we often see with borderline snowstorms. It's a lot easier to be happy for someone's 16 inches of snow when you got a foot
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We'll see once the final numbers come in, but this looks like a solid call. The one immediately above it though, lol.
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Still a super cool storm. In a way, what we saw today is equally as impressive as an 18" storm. Just hours and hours of pouring sleet after 6-10" of snow region-wide.
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Check out the 18Z regular Euro at 144, it'll turn your nipples hard.
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Just pouring sleet here and radar looks good for at least another hour of this.
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Radar looks primed for Central Park for the next few hours (assuming it stays all sleet), should easily get them to 10"+
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Maybe we can get a large shift in time like we did with today's storm.
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Plus every surface is ice cold. Hopefully it'll turn back to IP with the heavier bands.
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That my friend is not good. 22 and heavy sleet here now. Haven't measured in a while, but definitely north of 11" by now. When is NYC's next update?
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Was in that lull for a bit but back to moderate sleet and radar to the west looks solid (though I wish it was situated in a straight west to east line).
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They had 8.8" at 3:30, it's definitely possible (but who knows with the way they measure).
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I wonder if there's enough sleet/snow left to make it to double digits. Would be really cool to get an official city site with that measurement.
