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jaxjagman

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Everything posted by jaxjagman

  1. This was a branch that came off our tree in the front yard.It definite took a lightning bolt
  2. Trying to think what was worse from that MCS,the MCS or the winds that came from the OFB,that was some impressive winds when the OFB strolled through about a half hr ago,just about hit my BMW,should have taken a pic but my son dragged the huge brach into the woods in my back yard
  3. Short range models are not doing a good job,looks like its headed towards East Tn tho,we got some good storms here from the first MCS,wind and lots of rain and some rumbles
  4. Yeah i think the cap was stronger,models have been showing it.You could watch the radar and nothing grew upscale,jmho
  5. by the looks that MCS is headed towards East Tn/VA
  6. More east of Nashville it seems like
  7. meh,oretty boring,seems like the cap was strong enough here
  8. Yeah SPC FINALLY put a 10 % tornado into Kentucky,i might have went more south into KY,i'm not sure what is still going to happen here,still seems like a cap will be in place into the early evening,same as into Ky but they still have much better 3capes that should over ride that cap into the evening
  9. Cams keep showing a potential MCS later on around Ark/Mid South.Earlier models showed more rain here but that never happened or is going to seemingly.Best chance for strong stroms here seems like early evening but there is a cap at the start seemingly but the 3capes are on the rise, dunno.This system is more in Jeffs league,looks complex to me.Might be best to wait and see the afternoon model runs.
  10. Should have a chance for some strong storms Sunday into the evening,Lower levels look crappish right now with the LP heading towards the lakes,but still a good chance for a good light show,wind and possibly hail here somewhere..Probably best to see what the models show tomorrow
  11. We sure could use some rain here.Good news it seems a ULL will nose into the Valley in a couple days and head into the southeast states,this should at least keep us in a unsettled pattern for maybe much of the week into the weekend as the PW'S look to be unseasonably high,just need a kicker
  12. Mesoscale Discussion 0982 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0622 PM CDT Sun Jun 11 2023 Areas affected...southeast TN...northern AL...and northwest GA Concerning...Severe potential...Watch needed soon Valid 112322Z - 112345Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorms capable of damaging gusts and hail are expected to spread southeast into northern Alabama, southeast Tennessee and northwest Georgia this evening. A severe thunderstorm watch will likely be needed soon. DISCUSSION...Bands of strong to severe thunderstorms over Middle TN are expected to continue to spread southeast into northern AL/northwest GA over the next few hours. Some modest increase in vertical shear is expected through evening, amid moderate instability (1500-2500 J/kg MLCAPE). Semi-discrete cells will pose a risk for large hail given lengthening hodographs with time. A modest low-level jet is also forecast to increase to around 25-30 kt this evening, and some upscale development into bowing/forward propagating clusters. An attendant increase in damaging wind potential will accompany convection in this scenario. A severe thunderstorm watch will likely be needed soon for portions of the MCD area.
  13. That is unusual even during June into summer,cant remember to see three warned cones at one time in a long time
  14. Nice to get some rains here,parts of East Tn are in a severe drought,our yard was beautiful a couple weeks ago,but now have brown patches all over
  15. Cell headed towrads Rocky Top looks better now
  16. Johns getting some action,another behind it
  17. yeah that seems around the upslopes
  18. We havent gotten a lick of rain other than a sprinkle the last month,hope we get some rain out of this
  19. Tornado Warning TNC013-129-151-112300- /O.NEW.KMRX.TO.W.0013.230611T2207Z-230611T2300Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Morristown TN 607 PM EDT Sun Jun 11 2023 The National Weather Service in Morristown has issued a * Tornado Warning for... North central Morgan County in east Tennessee... West central Campbell County in east Tennessee... Central Scott County in east Tennessee... * Until 700 PM EDT. * At 607 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Helenwood, or 10 miles south of Oneida, moving east at 30 mph. HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.
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