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jaxjagman

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Everything posted by jaxjagman

  1. jaxjagman
    Some of the short range models has been showing the MCS crossing the river right now falling apart before it reaches middle and eastern Tn,they've been pretty bad as of late,so far it seems to be holding together,pwats are around 2" here so it could be a good soaker,thunderstorms in middle and east Tn in a few hours
  2. jaxjagman
    I was thinking the same basically,its been warm but the humidity has been bearable,the past few weeks could have been much worse.Plus as long as ive been living in Tn this might be the best severe ive seen with plentiful MCS action this summer so far
  3. jaxjagman
    Not a very exciting look as we head into next weekend and beyond right now
  4. jaxjagman
    Think hes talking about his parts and yes some parts in the Valley has escaped the brutal warmth,you must be further south/SW where i can understand where you are coming from.
  5. jaxjagman
    Not sure.But right now it looks like Typhoon "LAN" is gonna hit Japan then track into the Sea of Japan where it gets absorbed by a cold front/boundary.After that a ridge builds into East Asia.Seems possible that we see a ridge build into our parts possibly around into next weekend give or take,seems like what the models are hinting at right now
  6. jaxjagman
    Oh man,read this earlier but didnt have time to comment.Was wondering why wasnt posting now i see why.My prayers are with you bud
  7. jaxjagman
  8. jaxjagman
    Tpmorrow has been upgraded Ozarks to Mid South to a enhanced
  9. jaxjagman
    KHAHUN,is a pretty amazing storm,just basically stuck in no mans land with no steering current to kick it.Today the Euro shows it going into South Korea around Mid week finally,tho this could change.This pattern if this storm gets into Korea/Sea of Japan should set up a +PNA.Think we could see once again the potential for a MId Level Ridge build back up to our SW,this would give us a decent shot at MCS action as we head towards next weekend and into it.Unless the models change,we are fixing to get possibly into a real wet pattern in several days '
  10. jaxjagman
    Yes,i agree.Our lawn looks rather nice compared to summers past,some brown patches here and there but over all,not bad for summer.Rain chances will be on the rise as we get further into the week.Euro shows some unseasonable high PWATS as we get into the week,se we'll see.
  11. jaxjagman
    Shows what the mountains can do,while you enjoy the upslopes in winter it combats the heat in summer,not all the time but in general it does
  12. jaxjagman
    Sitting at 92 right now.Heat Index is already over 100.HRRR shows us hitting 100 in a few hours,not sure it's gonna make it,its a little overcast which could hold back temps a couple degrees if nothing changes
  13. jaxjagman

    ENSO

    jaxjagman replied to jaxjagman's topic in Tennessee Valley

    The East (1+2) has cooled down the last few days,but it wouldnt still take very much to upwell the warm thermocline fairly fast to warm this back up.
  14. jaxjagman
    97 here now.Should see some cool down next week.Short range a strong phoon is being shown headed towards East Asia the next couple days.GFS want to take the storm into the Yellow Sea while the Euro goes into East China.Think parts of the Valley could see a big warm back up as we head towards next weekendStill seems this pattern right now we are in is fixing to get broke as we go into August,hopefully the upper 90's are done but its still summer,this stretch has most definite been the hottest we've seen this season.
  15. jaxjagman
    Lets hope so.We can still get warm in Sept,just look at last year Nashville hit 100 in Sept,think it was Sept 21.,but even that is still rare hitting 100 in Sept,probably influence from NINA as well.
  16. jaxjagman
    Seen a few times when you have TG going into South East China look at the East Coast,i'm not no met here so certainly could be wrong,seems like to me though the potential of TG effecting the East coast should be real as we get into August its just IMO and no forecast
  17. jaxjagman
    Seems like the CFS wants wants to possibly strenghten a decent CCKW the next few days as it possibly moves into the Caribbean as it tracks towards Africa
  18. jaxjagman
    I dont know what the GFS is doing in East Asia,shows two strong typhoons going into South East China the next few days.One should be stronger than the other basically going into the same spot.But the Pattern is breaking down,this might even be our last warmest stretch we see as we go into August again for this summer as the MJO is seemingly going to get into the NH as we get into August.
  19. jaxjagman
    https://www.weather.gov/ohx/20160122#:~:text=The snow total of 8,in Nashville in 28 years.
  20. jaxjagman
    That not the right article but it does mention Jan 22,2016 and that winter
  21. jaxjagman
    Oh wow,you're right https://www.accuweather.com/en/winter-weather/record-breaking-snowstorm-wreaks-havoc-in-tennessee/1121498
  22. jaxjagman
    I tried to find something,still looking,think that was the winter the Southern Plains had a major ice storm,but could be wrong
  23. jaxjagman
    Think thats when we had the snow dome,sure winter was crap here
  24. jaxjagman
    I dont think what he is saying is releated to the BS,It seems to me there is a potential typhoon possibly gonna happen into parts of East Asia via a KW.Seems like to me this should build the heights up if it goes into South East China,then into Korea and Japan you could possibly see the upper and mid level ridge build into this region,this is a warm sign for us depending on the tropics this time of year..JMHO
  25. jaxjagman
    Seems possibly like the the gfs is showing a possible phoon into East Asia along with maybe some TG into North America,but could be a battle ground between the Pac and Atlantic.To far out to trust any model right now.but it wouldnt surprise me as we head towards the end of the month.Nino should get cranking as we get into August.Thinking this is gonna be like winter of 2015-2016 now maybe not that extreme,could be a good late severe fall into early winter,to far out to really know ATM
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