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jaxjagman

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Everything posted by jaxjagman

  1. Surprised tho yall turned to sleet,you are right beside us and it still should be all snow
  2. National Weather Service Nashville TN 1148 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1141 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2025 - Continued snow/light ice accumulation and major travel impacts today into early Saturday. - Cold temperatures into next week with lows in the teens and 20s. - Temperatures below freezing during nighttime hours next week will re-freeze any melted snow, resulting in black ice and continued hazardous travel especially on secondary roads. && .SHORT TERM... (Rest of today through Saturday) Issued at 1141 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2025 Our current winter weather event is well under way at forecast time. Currently, Middle TN is all snow with our heaviest totals in our southwest counties so far, right around 4 inches. Additional snowfall is expected for them and the rest of the area throughout the afternoon hours. However, there is a feature we`ve been monitoring for the last hour or two: that warm nose that we`ve been talking about the last few days is making its way northward. Northern Alabama/Mississippi/Georgia already have reports of a transition to freezing rain and sleet as this nose moves northward. This line/transition is expected to move into our southern TN counties over the next few hours, but there is very little confidence in saying how far north it will reach into the mid-state. Current wisdom from our models suggest that it should remain south of the I-40 corridor until the precipitation stops falling. That means everyone along and north of I-40 should remain all snow, where those south of I-40, especially closer to the AL/TN state line, have a medium to high chance of seeing a transition to sleet and maybe even some light ice accumulations from freezing rain. This should begin to occur right around the noon hour on the state line and move north over the next few hours. Forecast snowfall totals haven`t changed. We still have several hours of snow before the machine shuts off. By early this evening, wintry weather should start transitioning off the Plateau and be completely into East TN before midnight. For this reason, I`m going to adjust the timing on our headlines, likely ending them by midnight. Here`s the downside: major travel impacts are going to be with us for a while. TDOT is likely to have the interstates under control pretty quickly, but secondary, less-traveled roads are going to be an issue for a few days as things thaw during the day, melt and re-freeze at night. Slick roads will be the story for the next few mornings. && .LONG TERM... (Saturday Night through next Friday) Issued at 1141 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2025 As for the rest of the forecast, it`s really pretty benign. Two systems are currently being shown to swing through the TN Valley region (one Sunday night and another Tuesday night), but both look dry at this time and will likely only act to reinforce the colder air in the area. Overall, we will remain below normals for this time of the year, but nothing too extreme. Our next chance of precip may come next weekend. Obviously, this far out, the details are sketchy, but there is some indication Old Man Winter might show his head once again. More on that with future forecast packages.
  3. Nice storm regardless,especially in SW Tn,most snow they have had in 40 years
  4. Convective bands are cool,this should light up soon west of Nashville
  5. I use google chrome,if you use that get awesome screen recorder and screenshot,thats what i use
  6. https://g1.ipcamlive.com/player/player.php?alias=brentwood201173a
  7. Ive been watching the Weather Nation and someone is reporting,in Florence,Al and it snowing there,our DP'S are @ 19 here,no snow for us yet
  8. Mempho,where have you been hiding?
  9. Its raining east of the Miss River but the short range models showed this,it should change over soon
  10. Least the Mesoscales dont show this right now
  11. If you look at the HRRR,start at hr 7 on the surface map and keep going
  12. HRRR shows it also,maybe its right,looks like a inverted trough
  13. Its doing some weird shit..lol
  14. Dont like the RAP,LP is going through Central MS
  15. National Weather Service Nashville TN 841 PM CST Thu Jan 9 2025 ...New UPDATE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 830 PM CST Thu Jan 9 2025 - High chance of significant snow accumulation and major travel impacts Friday into early Saturday. - Cold temperatures through the weekend with lows in the teens and 20s. - Temperatures below freezing during nighttime hours next week will re-freeze any melted snow, resulting in black ice and continued hazardous travel especially on secondary roads. && .UPDATE... Issued at 830 PM CST Thu Jan 9 2025 Have updated the short-term grids with the most recent model data and there`s no appreciable change in the forecast. We are still expecting widespread amounts of 4-7". Some locations will likely exceed that range. Other locations, mainly our southern areas near the TN/AL border, can expect less than 4", but also with light ice accumulations. Either way, the impacts are going to be the same area-wide. Radar imagery shows the leading edge of the snow just now reaching the Memphis Metro Area. The environment across Middle Tennessee is still relatively dry. Dew points are mostly in the teens, and the evening sounding from OHX gives a Precipitable Water of just 0.16", which is actually below the 10th percentile for this date. So we`re going to need quite a bit of moisture advection in order for precipitation to start reaching the ground. That should happen rather quickly now that the upper ridge has passed east of Middle Tennessee and the upper flow is in the process of turning southwestward. The forecast is still on track.
  16. Nashville bumped the totals up since this morning here,they must feel pretty confident,more than i am anyways right now Tonight Snow showers likely, mainly after 5am. Increasing clouds, with a low around 25. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Friday Snow showers. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 32. Calm wind becoming east southeast around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible. Friday Night Snow showers likely, mainly before 9pm. Cloudy, with a low around 27. Calm wind becoming west northwest around 5 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
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