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jaxjagman

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  1. jaxjagman
    https://www.brproud.com/video/wvla-anvato-2/adstXlnjeoDNm4YE
  2. jaxjagman
    Resembles the 2014 storm https://www.weather.gov/mob/2014_Ice
  3. jaxjagman
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-022-00263-5 Try this one,not sure its what you want.Some of my links ive had for many years,some were deleted and now some are behind a pay wall now.Jeff might be able to help you out more
  4. jaxjagman
    I have more papers buried in my bookmarks, but this might be what you are looking for? https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/mwre/144/2/mwr-d-15-0289.1.xml
  5. jaxjagman
    Last just came through here,mostly partly cloudy now,yall still have few hours
  6. jaxjagman
    Shoot i wouldnt rule out you guys getting some strong storms upcoming,AAM seems fairly coupled with the MJO,if this were certainly a month or two later you'd probably have alot more confidence
  7. jaxjagman
    You guys to the east of us should have a few more hours,the back side of us is fixing to end but virga has mostly taken over,so good luck
  8. jaxjagman
    Sorry to hear this.God speed recovery,my prayers are with you.
  9. jaxjagman
    Dont feel bad,we have a dusting on our mulch
  10. jaxjagman
    Could be,some people still think its more like the 94-95,i at one time thought the same,but but Yellow Sea to off of the West Pac off of Japan the SST'S were very cold compared to this year.Its kinda ironic tho even tho last year was in a NINO was the warmest ever SST'S in a NINO,this year is even warmer with a NINA,i dunno,we'll see
  11. jaxjagman
    Think we can moderate some into the first week of Feb.some people say the MJO is gloom and doom when it gets into phase 3,its really not,see all the height falls into east China and the Koreas,IMHO thats not is not a warm look,we've seen this pattern since late fall into winter this year and it continues
  12. jaxjagman
    Oh, i'm so sorry to hear this.I didnt know,what happened?
  13. jaxjagman
    What you make your girls go measure the snow...lol..j/k
  14. jaxjagman
    Why couldnt you?Think the MJO becomes murky right now where it actually could go in later days,probably any model could be right ATM into the extended period.I was looking at the CFS and it shows two camps in the upcoming days,,believe it should be more advanced.Seems to me the IO will play games with the signal from the Rossby wave trains and Kelvin,thats just my thoughts,no forecast and i certainly could be wrong
  15. jaxjagman
    Euro is trying to kill my cold thinking towards the end of the month.Siberian ridge and heights pumped up into the AK,Bering Sea would be a more ridge in the east,hopefully this changes
  16. jaxjagman
    Should be one of the past several years we seen the PV so strong.More warming today per JMA,but the PV is still strong and by 10days on the Euro it looks more just tilted.Soon as the MJO gets out of the Maritime it should get sling shot back to the pole
  17. jaxjagman
    Not really,they only cover severe during prime time.But this is the classic for them still to this day
  18. jaxjagman
    Alot of people move in those parts the same as Florida to escape the cold in winter,guess that will backfire on them this year..lol
  19. jaxjagman
    lol...if we miss out on snow from the mid of next week until Feb im going to severe,systems seem close to every 3-4 days
  20. jaxjagman
    Probably the next shift will,hard to believe they they wouldnt put out a WWA for the mountains
  21. jaxjagman
    If the HRR is anywhere right there could we a weaker clipper riding the trough,least thats what im seeing,you can see this on its CAMS
  22. jaxjagman
    Maybe its about the same but you can still see when the LP gets into N/Carolina it is stronger Than the 12z was
  23. jaxjagman
    GFS has a stronger system with more wrap into East Tn this run
  24. jaxjagman
    Cumberland should be the jack pot as usual,if we get a dusing here i'd say it was a win
  25. jaxjagman
    Probably not like 2018,that was a wicked storm anyways
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