NorthShoreWx

Gutsy call.

Yeah, try having to go through the NYC bottleneck to get anywhere off island. I'll be sucking it up and doing it for the millionth time tomorrow.

The Bronx is upstate. If you live in Brooklyn. Not kidding.

It's easy to forget what thread you are in when reading it on a little phone. Especially if you've just read a bunch of banter posts. At least I've been guilty of that.

True. To make a technical point, your part of the Island is pretty close to the same latitude as Mt Kisco.

If you look more closely at those stats as presented in the original post, they aren't saying that there is a greater chance of a 4" snowstorm with AO+ as you go south (the likelihood is similar at all 3 locations), but rather it makes up a larger percentage of the 4" snowfalls as you go south. Put another way, it implies that NYC is more likely to see a 4" snowfall than either PHL or DCA when the AO is not positive.

School in Syosset, February 1978

26" at ISP in 2/78, similar elsewhere around the island. 2016 wasn't anywhere near twice as much snow at JFK as 1978. Different measuring techniques. And a few miles east of JFK in 78 had 20". The closest thing to '78 was 2/8/2013. Similar snowfall in spots, but less on average and with a lot less wind.

Blizzard of 78 on LI. After all the storms since 1996, '78 is still the benchmark for LI blizzards. https://northshorewx.com/19780207.html https://www.longisland70skid.com/blizzard-of-1978/ Really cool to see the back and forth with the coastal front on the ISP obs during the evening/overnight on the 6th. Snowfall measurement in those days was depth at the end, so that 26" was massive compared to the same measurements today (sum of 6 hour snowfalls at airports).

Happy Celtic spring. Trivia: The Low in Lowville rhymes with Oww (as in ouch) Lau-ville

NBD for Hamptons. Similar to here, except less on the road. https://hamptons.com/village-main-street/ Coopers Beach looks nice, but it's still just a coating: https://hamptons.com/coopers-beach/

28 degrees and just started snowing. Because everything was iced up, already have a light coating in the street.

Just freezing drizzle now (down to 30°), but the next batch of showers in a half hour or so will really get things icy on a good chunk of the island west of roughly PJ - Patchogue, and maybe by then a little east of there too. Caveat is west end could start to see some sleet.

I'm not so sure that it is.

Down to 31 here. Don't think its freezing on much yet, but with several more hours of showery weather to go, it's a good night to stay in.

Meanwhile, this has been trending a little closer, although in baby steps. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=eus&pkg=z500_mslp&runtime=2022020418&fh=66 https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf&region=eus&pkg=z500_mslp&runtime=2022020412&fh=90

32.1° Colder rain has transitioned to the coldest rain.

This usually works: https://www.wunderground.com/wundermap

Jealous. Haven't been there since October.

Apparently they liked it or they wouldn't have waited two months to run out of food before calling for help.

Down to 33.2 here and the cold rain has transitioned to a colder rain. But the plot is thickening.

Scary thought if you park the car in an attached garage.

Oozing downwards. 34.7 here as of 2:45pm. Rose to 38 after initially falling to 36 earlier this morning. Cold rain rocks!

He lists his location as GFL. Don't know if it's a lie, but the totality of behavior argues for additional discipline. PS several inches of snow at GFL

As for snow cover, the early morning hours were a massacre.