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NorthShoreWx

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Everything posted by NorthShoreWx

  1. NorthShoreWx
    Looks like this might be the last band off the ocean for a bit, but it's been snowing nicely for the past half hour. Next up is probably freezing drizzle or plain old drizzle for a while overnight. Hopefully a little pack freshener after that. Temp up to 31.4 at 10:35 pm with S-
  2. NorthShoreWx
    Smithtown, NY 14.6" storm total snowfall as of 7:30PM. Snow mixed with sleet shortly after 6pm. Was mostly light sleet for a while, then went back to mostly snow when it got heavier and so forth. All snow at the moment. At 8:15pm: 30.9 S- 15" on the stake.
  3. NorthShoreWx
    Probably a combination of UHI and much of LI being farther north than Central Park. Also sometimes with a cold high to the N or NE and the right wind direction, we might benefit from some colder air draining down the CT River valley. Basically cold air damming. If the mid level warming from the SE was more robust, or the boundary winds were more easterly, NYC would likely have been a few degrees colder than LI. Could still trend that way
  4. NorthShoreWx
    They had to get rid of the reliance on Flash. It looks like they tried to add a lot of features. Not the first project to be totally ruined by gold plating it Project Management 101 fail!
  5. NorthShoreWx
    0z NAM had us going above freezing (33) by 5pm. Instead we've fallen a degree back to 29 over the past 30 minutes. Not sure what that means, except that the snow won't be too heavy to shovel yet...and I'm heading out now with shovel in hand. 29, light to moderate snow. Wind is strong gusting much more frequently than before. It's a technicality, but I think not doing a blizzard warning was actually the right call. The wording is somewhat subjective, but allows for a warning if there are frequent gusts over 35mph. They weren't especially frequent before. They are now, but the viz is up a bit. Can't speak for the entire island, but that's how I'm seeing it. Edit, Smithtown, NY (2N Smithtown)
  6. NorthShoreWx
    I'm a couple of miles northwest of there, but a good friend literally lives right behind Nicks on Marlan. Ironically, this is the friend who is always pinging me for snowfall forecasts.
  7. NorthShoreWx
    What is the nearest landmark to your sister's house? Don't name a block...just the rough neighborhood.
  8. NorthShoreWx
    4:19PM, Smithtown, NY
  9. NorthShoreWx
    Sleet is indeed included in snow totals, but it isn't snow. Graupel on the other hand is snowflakes with a coating of rime.. Anyhow, the main point was that nothing has fallen here to indicate any above freezing air anywhere in the column overhead. S+ again here in Smithtown. I have no complaints about this one!
  10. NorthShoreWx
    Not here either. I did see some graupel bouncing off my sleeve briefly earlier this afternoon, but nothing that isn't a form of snow. Viz flirting with 1/4 mile again here now. I'd call it moderate snow, but it's close.
  11. NorthShoreWx
    That pivot on radar is a thing of beauty. I can see it, but I can't touch it; yet its still pretty to look at. 3:30PM: That being said, we just keep firing up more light to moderate to briefly heavy snow here. Temp is up to 30.3 Snow stake has edged past 13" (Smithtown, NY) I was looking at 18z NAM soundings right over my head (40.88, 73.21). Despite precip type maps showing in green overnight (rain), the only place that gets over freezing is right at the surface ... and just barely. We are currently 2 degrees (F) colder than modeled. I can see some drizzle or snizzle being the main p-type for a few hours. All levels cool to freezing around sunrise and after that the 18z NAM keeps light snow going until almost July. We may yet wind up with a very impressive total. But that crazy band that has pivoted away from us sure is pretty.
  12. NorthShoreWx
    Still S+ here. Radar looks like it is trying really hard to dryslot and at the same time trying really hard not to and it seems we are about to step it up another notch. Lots of potential being right on the edge. So far we keep pulling the lever and coming up all cherries. On a roll. 1:30 temp 29.1. We've gone past 12" on the snow stake. Official total measured on the snowboards was 11.6" at 1:00pm.
  13. NorthShoreWx
    Smithown, NY 1PM 2/1 28.9F S+, 11.6" measured on the boards. Note, as of 1:05p mostly nice dendrites, but some graupel/rimed snowflakes observed to be mixed in. No observation of any sleet so far.
  14. NorthShoreWx
    Dropped by a half degree here since noon and another inch of snow. 11" as of 12:30. The snowflakes are smaller but nicely formed dendrites. They are filling the air bigtime, kind of a "suffocating snow". I like the look. Smithtown NY 12:30PM 29F, S+, 11" OG
  15. NorthShoreWx
    Passed 10" here as of noon. 29.8, S+
  16. NorthShoreWx
    Temp maxed at 29.4 at 8:30 here and back to 28.9 a half hour later. 6" on the snow stake but that isn't "official" measurement due to the grass. Official could be slightly less.
  17. NorthShoreWx
    Smithtown, NY 1.3 inches snowfall as of midnight. Temp 25.7 (up 3.5 degrees since shortly before the snow started falling earlier this evening.
  18. NorthShoreWx
    I am mystified how the NWS could allow themselves to roll out such a piece of garbage.
  19. NorthShoreWx
    Going by the radar I am looking at (CoD) not even virga here at the moment. The echos to the west (presumably virga) are hitting a wall in Nassau and getting beaten back by the dry air in place. DPs locally seem to be around +8 or 9 with surface air temp steady at 22 (Smithtown). For the places where the snow has been reaching the surface for a little while, has there been any wetbulbing of the surface temps or is the WAA offsetting that?
  20. NorthShoreWx
    6:13PM 22F (-5.5C) cloudy Smithtown, NY (central LI, north shore)
  21. NorthShoreWx
    Shades of December. Finger Lakes went from basically nothing to 19" from 0Z to 6Z on the NAM.
  22. NorthShoreWx
    Memory jogger and a great video from the February 1967 blizzard (a well know KU storm): PS I won't be offended if this gets moved to memory lane.
  23. NorthShoreWx
    Not sure what the actual jackpot percentage for LI would be, but it's a bit of an apples to oranges comparison to the rest of the region due to the size of LI. What other part of the region stretches nearly 120 miles as the crow flies from end to end? Fun stats (all mileages "as the crow flies"): From the Brooklyn side of the Verrazano Narrows Bridge to Montauk Point, 119 miles Center City, Philly to Central Park, 88 miles Central Park to Montauk Point 113 miles Montauk Point to the Boston Common, 97 miles Also max extent of LI from south to north is a 40 mile difference (i.e, Long Beach vs Orient Point, which are at about the same lattitudes as Iselin, NJ and New City, NY respectively). Point is, even going with the political LI rather than geographical (I'm always happy to drop Brooklyn and Queens from the designation), it probably covers as much linear space as anywhere in the rest of the sub-forum combined.
  24. NorthShoreWx
    I think snowdepth was about 27" total when that one ended.
  25. NorthShoreWx
    Nothing to do with UHI or clear nights. Some storms are all snow, some mix, etc. OP was very specific on what he thinks about the beaches, which was wrong.
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