NorthShoreWx

Sleet mix started about 5 minutes ago in Smithtown. About 60% snow as of 11:55. Precip is light. 26F 1" of snowfall.

Dang that's close. Still snow here.

I'm using the CoD CC and mix line is showing up very clearly on the KDIX radar and not at all on KOKX. 3k NAM soundings says my position taints starting around noon. That's actually looking like a pretty good forecast.

Best snow of the day here right now. 26 with moderate snow. Mostly we've been over a mile viz until now. About 3/4" so far.

Big dew point drop from north to south across Long Island over the past 2 hours coincident with the wind picking up from the northeast. When I saw the Stony Brook ob at midnight I thought it was an error. It's almost got a backdoor cold front vibe to it: 11PM: Farmingdale FAIR 32 20 61 E10 30.38R WCI 24 MacArthur/ISP CLOUDY 32 21 64 CALM 30.38R Stony Brook N/A 32 25 74 NE1 N/A 12AM: Farmingdale FAIR 32 22 66 NE10 30.40R WCI 24 MacArthur/ISP CLOUDY 32 22 66 N8 30.40R WCI 25 Stony Brook N/A 32 12 43 NE5 N/A WCI 27 1AM: Farmingdale CLOUDY 32 10 40 NE16G23 30.39F WCI 21 MacArthur/ISP FAIR 31 10 41 NE13 30.39F WCI 21 Stony Brook N/A 32 10 40 NE6 N/A WCI 26

Using model soundings to infer p-type? Sacrilege!

Because when it's snowing, it's snowing. Crass analogy, but think of it as spending time with a dying relative. It ends soon but she's here now and that's what matters.

To be fair, they also nailed the great plains (MT, ND, on South)

We're in that sweet spot between NNE and the southeast where they've done well (northern MA/SNE, that is). Not as well to the north and south. They were thinking a more traditional nino pattern I believe.

The winter forecast that NOAA put out back in October is the one that's been closest so far. They were not gung ho on much winter in this area

Not only BOS. That's one of my favorite winter's. 2 foot snow pack the second week of March with layers from about a dozen storms going back to January. Two separate events with sub-zero. Long Island Sound mostly frozen over. Sorry for the guys in urban NJ that didn't like it, but 2014-15 was a great winter here.

Pretty much the entire northern hemisphere. At least they have the Sox and the Patriots. And 2.5 hours north of town has been getting tons of snow.

Or maybe you just wore him down. Cheer up, there will always be weather.

Looks like snow out towards Bermuda. Lock it in.

It began after the October snow melted.

That's how it looked here. i posted video above. If you pay attention to the winds shifting during the clip, from the left is south and from the right is north. I do think that may have been the lowest visibility (outside of isolated wind gusts) that i have ever seen.

Not sure if you caught this:

The north shore fared well with this one relative to the typical disintegration of summer storms.

My wish for you is a little sunshine in your life.

Low here was +3. Could have been a little colder but we're still sucking heat out of the Sound. Our below zero days in recent years have been in mid and late February. Yesterdays squall began with a few flakes at 4:28 and peaked in white out conditions from 4:44 - 4:47. it calmed down pretty quickly after that. Here is the event condensed down to about a minute (regular speed, just clipped):

At my location, the visibility at the height of yesterdays squall was lower than at the height of the January 2018 blizzard (50 - 75 yards vs 100 - 150 yards). I'll post some video. Easy to see what is meant by a white out from yesterday's example.

So, are you saying that we shouldn't warn people because they are too dumb to handle it? I say screw the idiots and let the ones with brains have information they can use to make good decisions. The SS Warning did indeed say to wait out the event until it had passed.

Still not boring.

My money for the golden squall award is on east central CT roughly from Colchester to Mansfield. They seem to be catching a little of the Atlantic moisture in advance of the arctic fropa.

It built to nice and heavy which was pretty nice to see, then for 3 minutes it was a true whiteout. Maybe 15 or 20 minutes total. I've got some video to edit down. Meanwhile, next stop (assuming it holds together): https://www.hamptons.com/Southampton-Village-Cam#.XFIdHVxKhhE