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Everything posted by NorthShoreWx
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OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
NorthShoreWx replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
1.3" new so far today. Event total 5.7". Temp up to 30.7 as of 2:55pm, light snow still falling. Warmest it's been since very early on Wednesday. February snowfall now 31.2" Seasonal snowfall 40.1". Just about touching 12" on the stake. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
NorthShoreWx replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
It's showing up well on CC view; a persistent little bubble. The snow is accumulating here. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
NorthShoreWx replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
28 with big fluffy snowflakes here. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
NorthShoreWx replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Smithtown, NY 10:30am. Light snow, 28 Real snow flakes now as opposed to the pixie dust we'd been having. 0.7" new accumulation since midnight. 5.1" total. 11" at the stake. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
NorthShoreWx replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
That's .1 to .3 , not .01. At 10:1, which might be a bit generous, it would be 1 to 3 inches of snow today. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
NorthShoreWx replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Very light snow here. Had a little light freezing drizzle or a faint mist a couple of hours ago, but it's switched back to snow now. Took a little walk after clearing the driveway and the exposed part of the street is definitely glazed over. It was safer to walk in snow at the margins. -
95" here in 95-96 is a craziness contender.
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OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
NorthShoreWx replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Light sleet and freezing rain mix here as of 4:30pm. 27F -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
NorthShoreWx replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
PHL warning verified OKX advisory verified. Not too shabby. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
NorthShoreWx replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
12z 3k NAM thermal profiles for here were dead on. Hinted at a little sleet around 2pm and cooled the mid levels back to 0C or below by 3pm. Currently, precipitation here is light but is back to all snow. Temp 27.6 N Smithtown, NY -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
NorthShoreWx replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Who knew? -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
NorthShoreWx replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Gotta love the Montauk and South Ferry cams (time sensitive): -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
NorthShoreWx replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
4.4" as of 1:45PM. Temp up to 27.3. Very light snow/sleet mix now. 11" at the stake. Snow depth increased 1.1" in 45 minutes since 1pm. North Smithtown 39" season total -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
NorthShoreWx replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Sometimes. It definitely doesn't hurt. You near Adirondack drive? -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
NorthShoreWx replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Righteous poundage here. Gonna miss this band after it moves through. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
NorthShoreWx replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
3-6" in 12 hours is advisory criteria for OKX. If its going to be 6" they have a little wiggle room, but basically 3-6 already is considered advisory snowfall. For straight snowfall, need a minimum of 3" for advisory. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
NorthShoreWx replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Smithtown 3.3" as of 1PM. 0.6" in the past hour. Very variable intensity of snowfall. Large flakes now with some rimed flakes and I think a few IP but not many. 26F -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
NorthShoreWx replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
That's what I'm hoping. The models support it. Since there are differences in teh timing of the best lift / heaviest snow with what's actually happening, I'd assumthere will be some variation in mixing too, but overall the outcome might be similar. Some IP is supported over the next couple of hours. The sleet to the SW might only make a little more progress before backing off. We'll see. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
NorthShoreWx replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Smithown. 2.7" as of noon. Temp 25.8 Heaviest snow of the day at the moment. Not quite heavy based on visibility, but big fluffly efficiently accumulating flakes. Had very light winds and then a sudden rogue gust of wind blew tons of powdery snow out of the evergreens and filled the air with thick snow. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
NorthShoreWx replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I'm up by 25A and think we'll probably get by with just enough IP to be a curiosity. A short window for a little mix over the next couple of hours and then back to snow and beyond that most mid level warming above 0C will be minor and masked by little if anything falling. In other words, I don't see mixing mattering here, although I suspect there will be a few ice pellets. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
NorthShoreWx replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
That makes sense. It's consistent with the 3k NAM forecast soundings. Just barely flirting with 0C at NYC at 17z. Basically isothermal between about 750 and 800 and not enough of a nudge above to melt anything. Best chances for a few IP would be around 19z (probably S/IP mix) and then quickly cools it just enough to be all snow with any decent lift. Assuming the forecast soundings are spot on. I suspect there are posters who refer to the p-type maps as "soundings" but I can't be sure. -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
NorthShoreWx replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Plus, at least part of PHL CWA has different warning criteria. This is the 12 hour criteria: -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
NorthShoreWx replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
http://www.northshorewx.com/19990225SnowTotals.html -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
NorthShoreWx replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I must be getting old, or maybe not old enough. I thought that was Walter Mathau. -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
NorthShoreWx replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Gesundheit!