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Everything posted by NorthShoreWx
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The bar is even lower if we take the 1 year moving average. With so much variability for so long, I have no confidence on what we will experience as average snowfall, which is affected by more than just average temperatures. If we don't get something in the next 7 or 8 weeks, it's over.
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I forget who/what had which torch and when, but the last 9 days here, while notably above normal, do not seem torchy. Biggest positive departures were on the mins...which have lead to a low diurnal difference most days. I think today (2/3) was the only one of the 9 with any sunshine: 1/26 41 45 1/27 39 43 1/28 35 40 1/29 34 40 1/30 33 37 1/31 31 39 2/1 30 46 2/2 36 42 2/3 31 42
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Cloudy.
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bxengine's venmo is [email protected]
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It was the other way around. The snow showers were with the arctic front on 2/16/73. They were more organized on LI where most spots picked up 2 or 3 inches.
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Woo hoo, the January thaw is over!
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Kocin and Ucellini are already working on the case study.
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As of 1/29, 6.49" precipitation here for January. Add that to the 10.23" for December and its a 2-month total of 16.72". Kinda wet!
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I took a group out for a hike in Calverton this afternoon and it was spitting tiny graupel most of the time. I even told them what graupel was.
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I was thinking of some of the claims that it would take a long time to reload cold air into Canada.
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Anchorage averaging 2.6°F below normal for both December and January and snowfall has been more than twice normal. They had a 16" snowfall this week, which is a biggy for Anchorage and current snow depth is 37". Plus they might come close to some record lows over the next week.
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1/22/1987 11.3" (LGA) 1/26/1987 11" Bridgehampton 2/23/1987 10" Patchogue 1/8/1988 10.5" Patchogue (JFK - 9.6") 12/13/1988 10 - 15" (C-E LI) 11/23/1989 10" Bridgehampton 2/25/1990 13" Bridgehampton
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The January 19-20 (17") snowstorm in 1978 was a surprise. The overnight forecast was for an inch or two of snow changing to rain and we woke up the next morning to a raging blizzard. The February 6 blizzard was talked about days in advance. I remember that I brought a portable radio to my indoor track meet on Saturday (2 days before the storm) so that I could get forecast updates during the day. Like most here, I've been at this since I was a kid.
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The forecast 24 hours before the blizzard of '78 was for a foot or more. It was an LFM success
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Been flurrying here for about 2 hours. Old man winter sticking his tongue out at us in a drive-by.
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What does the "bg" stand for in "bg warming". Google was no help with this question.
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It happens. This was the high end forecast; more of a what-if map. I like to look at them because, even when wrong, they sometimes highlight mesoscale differences that might not be evident in the actual forecast. This was the case during our most recent snowfall about 9 days ago. You can get the same ideas by closely examining multiple meso models, but this is a little bit of a quick cheat.
