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NorthShoreWx

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Everything posted by NorthShoreWx

  1. NorthShoreWx
    Very light snow here. Had a little light freezing drizzle or a faint mist a couple of hours ago, but it's switched back to snow now. Took a little walk after clearing the driveway and the exposed part of the street is definitely glazed over. It was safer to walk in snow at the margins.
  2. NorthShoreWx
    95" here in 95-96 is a craziness contender.
  3. NorthShoreWx
    Light sleet and freezing rain mix here as of 4:30pm. 27F
  4. NorthShoreWx
    PHL warning verified OKX advisory verified. Not too shabby.
  5. NorthShoreWx
    12z 3k NAM thermal profiles for here were dead on. Hinted at a little sleet around 2pm and cooled the mid levels back to 0C or below by 3pm. Currently, precipitation here is light but is back to all snow. Temp 27.6 N Smithtown, NY
  6. NorthShoreWx
    Who knew?
  7. NorthShoreWx
    Gotta love the Montauk and South Ferry cams (time sensitive):
  8. NorthShoreWx
    4.4" as of 1:45PM. Temp up to 27.3. Very light snow/sleet mix now. 11" at the stake. Snow depth increased 1.1" in 45 minutes since 1pm. North Smithtown 39" season total
  9. NorthShoreWx
    Sometimes. It definitely doesn't hurt. You near Adirondack drive?
  10. NorthShoreWx
    Righteous poundage here. Gonna miss this band after it moves through.
  11. NorthShoreWx
    3-6" in 12 hours is advisory criteria for OKX. If its going to be 6" they have a little wiggle room, but basically 3-6 already is considered advisory snowfall. For straight snowfall, need a minimum of 3" for advisory.
  12. NorthShoreWx
    Smithtown 3.3" as of 1PM. 0.6" in the past hour. Very variable intensity of snowfall. Large flakes now with some rimed flakes and I think a few IP but not many. 26F
  13. NorthShoreWx
    That's what I'm hoping. The models support it. Since there are differences in teh timing of the best lift / heaviest snow with what's actually happening, I'd assumthere will be some variation in mixing too, but overall the outcome might be similar. Some IP is supported over the next couple of hours. The sleet to the SW might only make a little more progress before backing off. We'll see.
  14. NorthShoreWx
    Smithown. 2.7" as of noon. Temp 25.8 Heaviest snow of the day at the moment. Not quite heavy based on visibility, but big fluffly efficiently accumulating flakes. Had very light winds and then a sudden rogue gust of wind blew tons of powdery snow out of the evergreens and filled the air with thick snow.
  15. NorthShoreWx
    I'm up by 25A and think we'll probably get by with just enough IP to be a curiosity. A short window for a little mix over the next couple of hours and then back to snow and beyond that most mid level warming above 0C will be minor and masked by little if anything falling. In other words, I don't see mixing mattering here, although I suspect there will be a few ice pellets.
  16. NorthShoreWx
    That makes sense. It's consistent with the 3k NAM forecast soundings. Just barely flirting with 0C at NYC at 17z. Basically isothermal between about 750 and 800 and not enough of a nudge above to melt anything. Best chances for a few IP would be around 19z (probably S/IP mix) and then quickly cools it just enough to be all snow with any decent lift. Assuming the forecast soundings are spot on. I suspect there are posters who refer to the p-type maps as "soundings" but I can't be sure.
  17. NorthShoreWx
    Plus, at least part of PHL CWA has different warning criteria. This is the 12 hour criteria:
  18. NorthShoreWx
    http://www.northshorewx.com/19990225SnowTotals.html
  19. NorthShoreWx
    I must be getting old, or maybe not old enough. I thought that was Walter Mathau.
  20. NorthShoreWx
    Gesundheit!
  21. NorthShoreWx
    0.84" rain in Smithtown. We cut the snowpack almost in half since yesterday morning. Was 12" Monday morning, 9" this morning and we lost another 2 or 3 inches under the Saharan sun this afternoon. No bare spots here, there are some on the sides of Main Street down in town. I was down in Islandia this afternoon (near the LIE) and there is noticeably less snow there with bare spots.The good news is that there is plenty left on the north shore to freeze into a nice solid base waiting to get covered up with Thursday's anticipated snowfall. I'll be back out on the skis soon enough. The bad news is I'm supposed to be leading a completely filled group hike in the Catskills on Thursday and unless there is a cosmic shift in this evenings guidance, I'm going to have to cancel it due to expected travel conditions, especially for the downstate folks.
  22. NorthShoreWx
    Down to 31.6 here with light drizzle / freezing drizzle. It's the first time since midnight that the temperature has been below 32. Not really freezing on most surfaces, but the snowpack which was quite soft earlier has a very light crust on it now. Pcpn very light atm. Smithtown, NY
  23. NorthShoreWx
    Little Rock's record low temperature for February 15 is 13 set in 1905. Currently they are reporting 9 degrees with heavy Snow. 32 with light rain here.
  24. NorthShoreWx
    Event total, Smithtown, NY = A trace of sleet and freezing rain. Liquid equivalent = Trace
  25. NorthShoreWx
    Min/max here since midnight is 25.5/27.8. Narrow range with obviously still some CAA at the surface. Currently at 26.2 so it's fallen off a bit from earlier.
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