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Everything posted by NorthShoreWx
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Soundings look comfortably all snow over NYC on 0Z/h51 Nam. What are you looking at? Edit Soundings indicate a brief mix with IP around hour 53, then all snow again afterwards. Maybe an hour of mix, but not at hour 51.
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I think we're on the same page. White Plains is farther inland than Huntington which is farther inland than Babylon. LIS shouldn't be treated as just another lake, but it can't hold a candle to the ocean.
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I've been doing the max depth thing, although I will wipe a board once a day in the AM , even during a continuing storm. That's the number I provide in spotter reports. I double it for posting here. To be fair that doc leaves open the possiblity for 6 hour wipes (i.e., at airports), so the issue remains confusing, I'm not sure if it is the latest and greatest however.
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Relatively common. A good way to think of it is the south shore folks are on the beach and the north shore folks are 10 or 15 miles inland. The LI Sound isn't insignificant, but it's a much smaller body of water and after October also colder. In 2015, a significant portion of the Sound froze over. if anything, it adds more snow than it detracts.
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You missed a good one. 14" total here including about 6" in 2 hours. Ended as some freezing drizzle on the north shore while it was plain rain in OC. Some of those guys were a combo of disbelief and less than happy with the topsy turvy outcome.
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December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
NorthShoreWx replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
There was definitely that potential, but we had a slow meltout right through the first days of March. -
December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
NorthShoreWx replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
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December 5-6, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
NorthShoreWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
That's in the eye -
Oops, wrong season. But do loop that radar over the past 3 or 4 hours.
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Well, there's an SE wind at ACK, the latest ERC is almost complete and it looks like the center is gonna go right up Buzzards Bay Cool feature on the radar: https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?parms=OKX-N0Q-1-48-100-usa-rad
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12" here March 2001
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Def band over central LI modeled on the NAM around noon has my attention. Not holding my breath but it'll be worth a look out the window.
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November 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
NorthShoreWx replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Cool. I never saw the LSR before because we had no power for a couple of days. Two of those storm reports are from within a block or two of here. It was quite a scary wakeup alarm. It sounded like rocks being blasted at the house which I took to be hail, but some of it was branches blown out of trees. -
November 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
NorthShoreWx replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
31 here this morning up on the ridge in north Smithtown. We've been as low as 29.8 this fall but it wasn't for long enough to kill much. -
November 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
NorthShoreWx replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Extensive damage on the north shore in August 2015 too. Insane storm (including hail) at 5AM. I forget if it was a microburst or a full blown Derecho. It affected a considerable area. -
November 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
NorthShoreWx replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Appropriate that you mentioned Elko as the example because I was thinking high desert as I was posting. -
November 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
NorthShoreWx replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Impressive diurnal swings for sure. Must be even more impressive in the center of the island, but here's the last 3 days at my hacienda about a mile from the sound: 11/7 43 76 11/8 44 77 11/9 42 77 This afternoon's 77 degree high a couple of hours ago is already down to 59 here. You can be sweating and then a half hour later around sunset be freezing. -
We can alway reminisce: WEATHER MAP DISCUSSION FOR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK..NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND LONG ISLAND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 400 AM EST WED NOV 22 1989 ...FIRST REAL SNOW EVENT ON THE WAY... HIGH PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS THE AREA WILL GIVE US FAIR SKIES FOR A SHORT PERIOD AND QUICKLY MOVE OUT TO SEA. THIS WILL BEGIN THE CHANGE IN OUR WEATHER PATTERN AS CLOUDS MOVE INTO THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE GULF STATES WILL BE THE DRIVING FORCE TURNING A SOMEWHAT TAMED WEATHER PATTERN INTO A RAGING EVENT LET LOOSE. THE STORM CENTER WILL MOVE RAPIDLY TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND SPREAD MOSTLY SNOW AHEAD OF IT. THEREFORE THIS WILL GIVE US OUR FIRST REAL SNOW EVENT THIS SEASON. THE SNOW SHOULD BEGIN AROUND MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO FLURRIES DURING THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE STORM WILL REACH THE CAROLINA COAST EARLY THURSDAY POSSIBLY DUMPING 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW OVER MANY AREAS BEFORE RUSHING TOWARD THE NEW ENGLAND COAST. HOPEFULLY THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE AS RAPIDLY AS PROJECTIONS CALL FOR..OTHERWISE IT MAY TURN INTO A MAJOR EVENT. IT WILL REMAIN CLOUDY AND COLD THANKSGIVING DAY BUT TIS THE SEASON TO BE THmANKFUL. MJW
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Snow in October, winter is over. It just takes a flake. This applies to the entire sub-forum except the north shore.
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remnants of zeta and potential first flakes for some areas
NorthShoreWx replied to forkyfork's topic in New York City Metro
Sleet mixing in Smithtown. -
October 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
NorthShoreWx replied to uofmiami's topic in New York City Metro
Doesn't sound like an apple's to apples comparison. Depends on the kind of trees. Near here, trees along RT 25 in Caleb Smith and 25a north of the bull are past peak and shedding leaves. Where there are primarily oaks still lots of green. I just got home from the North Conway area and it was surprisingly similar in places. As you head up the notches it looks more winter like. This is from Bear Notch Road near Bartlett on Thursday. -
I just saw a great shooting star to the west heading roughly from south to north. I wouldn't call it a fireball, but like someone threw a sparkler close by. Definitely one of the better ones. Anyone else catch it?
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July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
NorthShoreWx replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Seabreeze front showed up really well on satelite and radar, but it is a seabreeze without any gumption. Pretty solid and rather darkish Cu overcast and temp dropped from 94 to 88, but I suspect we'll see mid 90s again when the sun comes back out. Looks like northern Nassau is sizzling all day in the sun. Even the south shore down to the beaches is still high 80s except for right on the beach in parts of the south fork where it is around 80, but there are still 90s away from the beach there too. It only looks like a seabreeze. Anyone notice that MCS about 300 miles south of MTP? Wicked outflow boundary on the south side of it while the exhaust blows off to the north. Looks awesome on sat. -
hailers-torrent tracks next two afternoons
NorthShoreWx replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
At one point about 75 - 90 minutes ago we were surrounded in all 4 cardinal directions by these otherworldly black towers (except the one to the east which was well lit). it looked like the view from a hurricane hunter in the eye of a cat 5. Continuous thunder since that time but we are still waiting for a drop of rain. The dome is intact. This is actually fascinating. I regret being outside looking up without my camera.- 117 replies
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hailers-torrent tracks next two afternoons
NorthShoreWx replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
0.02" total here since June 11 (split between 2 different days...basically sprinkles). None yesterday. Seeing some cirrus blowoff from various storms elsewhere all morning and some forming towers to the south, but nice deep blue skies overhead. The ground is pretty crunchy around here.- 117 replies
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