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Eduardo

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Everything posted by Eduardo

  1. Eduardo
    Loud clap of thunder in Brentwood (LI).
  2. Eduardo
    Would be happy to keep company like this. The race for -5SD is on!
  3. Eduardo
    I don't know if I'd go that far. Certainly, blocking can overwhelm ENSO's influence and, in that respect, might be a greater determinant of sensible weather here (especially in the last few years of atmospheric coupling weirdness). But that all doesn't mean there's "no such thing as 'el nino' or 'la nina' patterns[.]"
  4. Eduardo
    I measured 10" at the Brooklyn Heights promenade. Awesome December event and I hope it bodes well for us this winter!
  5. Eduardo
    Meant to type *December* warning-criteria snows. My (big) mistake ;-)
  6. Eduardo
    Still snowing in Brooklyn Heights. Yeah it could have been more, but warning-criteria snows have been few and far between over the past decade and this is more than I saw all winter last year, so I’m grateful for it. Hopefully there’s more to come!
  7. Eduardo
    Can confirm, neighbor. Wow!
  8. Eduardo
    And jump...very high!
  9. Eduardo
  10. Eduardo
    At first glance, I thought you had mistakenly copied and pasted the October 2020 map for the "snowier outcome" composite (which is a good thing!). Your accounting for Niño-like and Niña-like background states is sensible, but it leads me to wonder how much the usefulness of ENSO itself as a predictor might be breaking down (or at least shifting). Solid post, as always!
  11. Eduardo
    I was thinking the same thing this morning. Fellow coasties lamenting the fact that they're about to see a 6"+ snowstorm in mid December is baffling to me. Everybody in the tri-state will easily surpass @bluewave's magic 3" December snowfall total tonight and tomorrow and it looks like the month will finish with a solid -AO. That's all cause for celebration in my book, especially given how dismal things looked a few weeks back.
  12. Eduardo
    Lived there from 2010 to 2013. I can recall seeing snow three times the entire time and the highest total was 2 inches. Watching January 2011’s extravaganza from down there was sheer torture. We really have been spoiled up here the past decade. I’ll gladly take 6-10” here in the city. I’d welcome the icy glacier that’ll preserve the pack too!
  13. Eduardo
    I think it's all about the 50/50 low, right? If that slips east, then the high (no matter how robust) will follow.
  14. Eduardo
    Reminds me a bit of December 2009.
  15. Eduardo
    Great stuff, as always Chris. IIRC, some of those years managed to sneak in a colder Xmas. 2013 comes to mind, for example. Was my first Xmas back up here after three years of law school in DC and it felt nice to experience actual cold again.
  16. Eduardo
    GFS's evolution reminds me a bit of Dec. 2009. Didn't we get some eleventh-hour PNA love to make that one happen too?
  17. Eduardo
    Yesterday's 12z NAM kinda nailed this IIRC.
  18. Eduardo
    Even see some shades of white on the car tops in Brooklyn. I'll take it!
  19. Eduardo
    Yeah I can confirm first flakes here in Brooklyn Heights!
  20. Eduardo
    Minimal improvement on the PAC side can put us in the game as long as the ATL side cooperates. Even a decent WPO can inject some arctic air for the NAO to hold in place. Need to tamp that PAC jet down just a bit though. It's been a killer these past few years.
  21. Eduardo
    96-96 and 10-11 come to mind.
  22. Eduardo
    Full-on tundra! Not sure I'll see that again in my lifetime here. I took special care to cherish those winters.
  23. Eduardo
    As long as the PAC isn't total hot garbage, we can cash in with a decent ATL look (which'd be a welcome return after years of awfulness). That said, those PAC-dominated winters of 13-14 and 14-15 were among my favorites. The only time I've experienced single-digit snow in the tri-state area.
  24. Eduardo
    Yikes! That's pretty grotesque. Also kinda puts things in perspective seeing how bleak things looked at this time in 2014 as well though.
  25. Eduardo
    Some winters got cranking late. In 2014-2015, I remember we were all doom and gloom until mid January. Different (exceptional) animal, for sure but for the more hopeful among us....
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