This weekend storm might work out and be interesting for many. It’s a different look to be sure: got a decent airmass to work with, certainly appears potent.
the Oz. GFS depicts A 992 LP pressing into a stout 1044 HP to the north, from Chicago to the st. Lawrence valley. Verbatim the GFS shows snow to start, a transition to rain, and then backend snows for western NY. The LP transfers to the coast into the gulf of Maine and everyone is back to snow for a spell for the west and central. The dacks look to the jackpot on the gfs, as well as eastern NY with the transfer to coastal
The Euro sports a more western track. The low is weaker and takes it into the UP of michigan and the transfers from Ottawa to SNE. Less snow and more rain on this one verbatim, the but position of the LP after transfer suggests the backend would be decent even though the model doesn’t show verbatim. The rainy part for western NY could actually be dry slot...so all is not lost. Dacks also jack.
My take is there is an LP transfer is in the cards, details TBD. This set up kind of makes a cut path work out as the SE ridge retreats, better antecedent airmass, and a stout HP to the north. A strengthening coastal hugger can chuck snow westward, and Both models depict snowy outcomes, but a mix will likely have to be tolerated.
Not a bad look at this timeframe.