cleetussnow
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Everything posted by cleetussnow
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...which is what matters the most, the LP in the plains vs. the lakes. -
Monitoring a potential important TV to East Coastal storm: Jan 17
cleetussnow replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
18Z GFS is west so far -
Interesting times ahead. Imagine besting the Pats and then stealing their snow? Rough...
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I will check if the upstate NY crew wants to do one.
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que thread for Monday...for sure
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This is going to be a fun week.
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We don't take our eyes off it.
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Uh...the GFS utterly puked on the coastal this last Friday. The Euro verified from 6 days out almost to a T. The GFS didnt correct until 48 hrs.
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This is the greatest post. Ever. I am going to work on an Ave Maria version. In Latin. edit: if we keep this up God will smote us with thundersnow.
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Just mentioned the look in the NY thread. Have to believe some relaxation here and there will deliver the goods during the period. Could be short horizon type modelled events.
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That is kind of what I am thinking. Cold and an amplified pattern should work out. Somethings going to happen.
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GFS operational is cold AF from like day 8 on out to the end of the run. ECWMF Ens look similar out to day 10. Maybe next weekend is when we can get something in the pipeline. Not much rn except cold.
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baroclinicity is our friend
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I am thinking Feb 1994 type deal?
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Dont let the upstate crew read this...
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the LR isn't great, I mean looking at D10 ish. I am not convinced there is a lot of skill in the models beyond that this season. Heart of winter coming up and its meh looking.
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The consistency is nice...
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Yeah but counting on those at this range is like cashing a 3rd party check from outer Mongolia at the grocery store cash register. It will take a day for those to 'clear.' But hey 100 bucks we can wait a day...
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Thats what she said...
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you must be new here. Welcome
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We want to see the whites of its dendrites before we strip down. Figure tomorrows 0z runs and people will start to get the vibe going.
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The Euro was steady but had biases. We knew how to fade it though.
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It was called King Euro for a long time, until the early 2010s when an upgrade messed it up seemingly.
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The cold air in canada lifts out, then we go zonal. I never trusted the cold looks progged that we were supposed to be in the midst of now, nor do I trust the cold that is supposed to arrive post day 10. Mirages this year.
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GFS is southeast of the NYC metro again with the 7th, but it had the storm at least, unlike 12z which basically lost it.
