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cleetussnow

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Everything posted by cleetussnow

  1. We are tracking amplitude. Its just not the same. I'd like to see the large scale look within 8 days and across products. At the same time, and maybe this has no place in weather, but some mean reversion argues for a flip this month (along with climo.)
  2. Is there a way to see 11-15 day EPS maps free or are those only paid access? Sorry if this has been asked trillions of times.
  3. Looks like suppression won't be the problem. But I feel like the amplitude will be more muted than this, and fast flow continues.
  4. Every defense film room in the league is going to play the almost sack of Watson in overtime when camps open in the summer. Even a top defense needs to remember to wrap players up. Elite players forgot that in the uttermost clutch moment....the defense owns this loss not Allen. Allen has upside and so do the bills.
  5. Don’t blame him. The play calling was very poor in the second half. The defense also contributed biggly. I thought he was poised for a 2nd year guy. pattern sucks.
  6. Trying o decide to go to old forge for some riding. This will matter.
  7. Thanks Wolfie for the pivotal maps. I need to use those and not the limited ttb maps.
  8. I can’t help but notice the torch and rain on day 9. Things can change but it’s a repeating scenario.
  9. At least this isn’t a huge Rainer and 50s. Welp. Back to the panic room for a couple days.
  10. There is value in knowing that there is a storm (of some kind) in the first place. Despite the variable details across the various models, that's huge as it is. Of course we need specifics for our practical weather but we need other skill for that. And that's the fun part...Humans! ;-)
  11. It’s bad luck to be superstitious.
  12. It’s a worth a chase. I have a camp up there.
  13. Yeah saw that and then the gfs went in that direction as well. The trends are colder and that sort of started last night. Interesting.
  14. 12 z Gfs is trying to slip east. Not there yet, but trends are slightly less cutty.
  15. I am so glad I got some riding in before Christmas. 200 miles. You go when there is snow. Keeping an eye on day 6. Not expecting too much but there are a few ways it can snow synoptically or LE or both. I’ll worry about the LR later. Track what’s coming next.
  16. Hard to ride the gfs OP long term. Euro shows some promise but that said I agree that January isn’t going to produce much except cuts. Teles argue for that. We shall see what things look like in 10 days, but expectations low here. Making plans for Park City. Screw this.
  17. GFS cuts January 6th situation. Long way out though and it’s the GFS.
  18. Figured I’d just show myself in and take a seat. Not feeling good about the pattern for the next 2 weeks. It’s the 80s again.
  19. Yep. I remember that. But also remember that from 7 days out there were GFS and Euro solutions that were all over the storm, and then it flattened out to nothing on the models. I remember because at 6 days I was honking to all my friends about this major storm, and I sent an email to like 50 people. Then the models backed off, but I was too busy at work to cancel the storm. So when it came around again and dropped 17 inches on us, everyone thought i could see around corners. I never copped to it.
  20. One of my favorite storms. I think the disrobing was the on the 23rd 0z gfs. The gfs got there first and the euro came around by 12z. One local met, Janice Huff on the 23rd, called for 2 inches while nick Gregory started honking in one of the first times I recall our NY local Mets mentioning models.
  21. Such a scenario would work wonders on the invasive species problem, namely pythons and iguanas. I have first hand experience with the later when a six foot iguana started sunning himself right next to my pool chair at the fountainblue back in September. Wild. Glad it wasn’t a snake.
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