SomeguyfromTakomaPark
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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark
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Here’s the buzzkill for those interested...should still be mostly all snow I would think, although maybe a little more QPF wasted than 12z.
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Can’t post now but it’s not pretty, mostly 0.1. It’s also very dry out in the panhandle of WV and Winchester area.
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Still gives us 0.25 of QPF though so not terrible.
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18z Euro a bit of a buzzkill. Drier overall. Snow map much more fragmented and the line of precip looks less beefy.
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Trough more negative...looks nice.
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January/February Winter Storm Threat Tracker
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
It looks like it skunks Boston and NYC pretty badly. -
January/February Winter Storm Threat Tracker
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Euro looks good, game on. -
January/February Winter Storm Threat Tracker
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah I’m looking forward to this event. My bar is 1-2 inches. It will make the arctic weather much more palatable. -
January/February Winter Storm Threat Tracker
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah, we get QPF of 0.5 though. -
January/February Winter Storm Threat Tracker
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
GFS a little strong with the low in the gulf at 72, maybe a good sign. -
January/February Winter Storm Threat Tracker
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
6z FV3 looks good, stripes the northern burbs. -
January/February Winter Storm Threat Tracker
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Not sure if I like the trends of the Euro at 500, vort doesn't look as potent or digging as far south. I would think this argues for a more progressive solution but maybe someone more knowledgeable can chime in. -
January/February Winter Storm Threat Tracker
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yes, didn’t check the temps though so not sure if all those members are all snow. -
January/February Winter Storm Threat Tracker
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Looking through the 18z EPS members very few solutions, just like 3 or 4, that totally skunk us (<0.25 QPF). The vast majority give us 0.25+ with around 10 members bringing the 0.5 QPF over or very near DC. -
January/February Winter Storm Threat Tracker
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah this pattern has been truly awful, I’ve had 3 snow events in DC, I’m 2/3 of the way to climo, it isn’t even February yet, and we’re tracking a light event for Tuesday/wednesday with potential upside.....just awful. Did you just move here? Have you not been here for some of our shutout years? -
January/February Winter Storm Threat Tracker
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Raining in nyc/Boston and heavy snow in DC....very nice. When’s the last time we had a big snow that was rain further up the coast? Feb 2010? -
January/February Winter Storm Threat Tracker
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Awful post, 0 analysis. Maybe don’t post if you already think you know the outcome. -
January/February Winter Storm Threat Tracker
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
If we get 2-4 inches followed by an arctic blast I will be completely satisfied with this winter. I had 11.5 inches of snow in an overperforming event and 5.5 of those inches fell in a 5 hour span of excellent deformation. If the rest of the season skunks us I won't care. -
January/February Winter Storm Threat Tracker
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
EPS looks about the same as 06z to me in terms of the mean snow map. -
January/February Winter Storm Threat Tracker
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
It’s more of an E-W setup though. -
January/February Winter Storm Threat Tracker
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Looks like the cold is in before any precip, all snow. -
January/February Winter Storm Threat Tracker
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Euro is a hit -
January/February Winter Storm Threat Tracker
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
The 6z EPS also showed the PV dropping in significantly west of 0z. -
January/February Winter Storm Threat Tracker
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah their algorithm is highly suspect, but for comparison purposes I think maybe it's still useful. Does weatherbell have the 6z/18z Euro? -
January/February Winter Storm Threat Tracker
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
EPS 6z snow map improved again for our area. Noticing the nothern part of our subforum down to about Baltimore is now in the 4-6 range. Also noticing better coverage in western NC.