I’m gonna have to play hooky I think Tuesday and head up there. Would go tomorrow but I’m taking someone from a warm climate for the first time and tomorrow isn’t the day for intro to West Virginia skiing with a high in the teens and winds up to 35 mph.
Hrrr finally in its useful range and looks good for us to get some accumulations. Wish this was happening at 7am instead of 3 cause im tired but oh well hopefully wake up to white.
Agree with LWX and wouldn’t make any big changes based on HRRR, it is very jumpy outside of 12-15 hours. I think Baltimore to NE Maryland to S Jersey for this one to jackpot is more likely than northern tier.
It’s actually pretty cool to look at snowfall maps on this scale now that you’ve posted, it gives you a sense of how narrow these systems are on a global scale and therefore how hard it is for models to pin down small bands of heavy snow.
The thing with this event is it’s really quick hitting, a few hours of snow. We’re gonna need it to not be 35 degrees at the onset because by the time it cools it’ll be over.
My gut here says Baltimore and points northeast for this one, usually we don’t do well with transfers like this at this latitude. But I’d be very happy with an inch or two before the arctic air.
For early December I'll keep nickel and diming if we have to. Of course big event is better but these are better than pacific puke and shut the blinds til january.