I guess back to 0z Monday it was showing the big dog, but I think all yesterday it was fairly consistent. Def more consistent than everything else that's for sure.
That's looking like the Euro AI precip distribution wise except displaced a tad north, also get's that 6 inch line way back into VA. I'd love to see the members for this.
I dunno why people think the ICON at 100+ hours will be consistent. Let’s keep the ai ensembles on our side til Thursday, get the EPS on board tonight or tomorrow, and then dial the ops in Thursday and Friday.
Not worried about the euro, it’s been getting slapped around by its ai cousin from this range all winter. I’m more just worried about the ai shifting this whole thing northeast as we get closer which of course could happen.
Agree we’ve been burned many times waiting for dynamic cooling, it’s never a guarantee. Hopefully we can actually get this low cranking to make it happen. Ai ensembles out yet? Or perhaps the weathernext? Would like to have those two on our side.