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SomeguyfromTakomaPark

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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark

  1. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Yeah as others have noted if every op run doesn’t show an HECS for their backyard they panic, but yeah we have the pattern in good shape going into prime climo so let’s just see if we can something to hit.
  2. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I like the potential around day 10 on the EPS, 0z euro op close to something too.
  3. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Last year the EPS busted so hard on that February storm and that was like 5 days out, I gotta get something to within like 2-3 days to feel any level of confidence.
  4. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    The last few years we have seen the good looks on the models like this and they’ve been head fakes, or they disappear after brief non producing period. Let’s see if we can actually cash one in.
  5. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    We don’t sweat thermals on 12 day away fantasy storms anyway, get the pattern right, get a storm. First things first.
  6. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Very nice event, looks like a general 6-8 here in Yorktown.
  7. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Filling over rockland and orange too now
  8. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    5 inches in Yorktown, moderate snow. Hoping we can fill in a bit.
  9. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    If you believe the 0z hrrr,yes
  10. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    HRRR has the dry slot filling in and gives northern westchester 0.49 QPF after 1z. Perhaps it’s smoking crack but I pray it’s not.
  11. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    3.5 inches in yorktown, these dark green/light yellow are 1 inch/hour on the nose, the yellow blobs are 2 inch/hour.
  12. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    3.25 inches in Yorktown after lull, back to solid moderate snow now.
  13. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Much bigger flake size with this second band, hopefully it accumulates as efficiently as the first. Yorktown, NY
  14. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    2.75 inches down in Yorktown heights. Moderate snow.
  15. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Roads are atrocious in northern westchester
  16. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    1.5 inches down already in Yorktown, SN+
  17. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Getting close to SN+ in Yorktown, accumulating rapidly.
  18. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Moderate snow in Yorktown NY
  19. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Radar looks good for nyc right now
  20. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Newest HRRR looks nice to me, heaviest banding right through nyc metro.
  21. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    NAM still a little too bouncy, other models been steadier. I like the HRRR + globals combo until the NAM settles in to something for 2 runs in a row.
  22. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Steady as she goes, very nice qpf again. If we can eek out 0.6-0.8 qpf gonna be some 8-12 inches totals me think.
  23. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I’m taking the HRRR + globals when the NAM is on its own like this.
  24. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    6Z euro is a great run for nyc metro
  25. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    That’s nice beefy qpf, thought that was a kuchera map at first.
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