SomeguyfromTakomaPark

UK also says no thanks....it would've been nice to get any model on board with the Euro.

Per the Euro it is Friday morning. 10am-5pm type deal. Nice daytime snow.

Looking at a blend of GFS, Euro, NAM, CMC, Euro AI, ICON you get temps like 26-31 for DC metro area. That is a great sign IMO. We do best when we're not waiting for dynamic cooling. I like a good entrenched cold air mass.

This system in Feb or March coming in at 10am would most likely be white rain even if it were cold.

It’ll be cool to get some snow in minimal sun angle season. None will be wasted.

Big broad area of accumulating snow! Cold temps! Let’s go!!

Decent model agreement of a low amplitude shortwave moving across the southern Mid-Atlantic Friday as high pressure retreats offshore. Uncertainties arise in how far north the precipitation will make it. Almost all ensemble and deterministic guidance has enough cold air in place to favor all snow in our FA should moisture make it this far north. There are a few outliers that have rain across the far S of the FA. FWIW, snow and ice has trended up slightly over the past couple of runs. While amounts are forecast to generally be light (an inch or two, perhaps three should a higher end solution verify), the northward shift is notable. Looking at clusters featuring the greatest variance (EOF) regarding amplitude does suggest additional northward expansion is possible. Just something to keep in mind.

Very close, at least we have some pre Christmas potential, that is more than we can say a lot of years.

12z ICON says no dice for Friday. No precip close to us.

12z NAM looks great for a light event!

Euro and euro AI sucked with this event btw, Euro Ai ensemble snow output had dc with like 5 inches up until a few days ago.

It’s a nice heavy rain though at least, been dry AF maybe we can carry the trend of more qpf into winter storm season.

That looks pretty nice, very cold for early December.

Always we need to wait til we have very established cold to have a chance. With a warmer base state due to climate change I feel like hedging towards warm sloppy mess for the metros makes sense, especially early season.

Wow ai ensembles lol. Absolute eye candy. Do I fall for it? Hook line and sinker!!! U know the drill.

Nice 12-18 event for dc and Maryland. Nbd.

bz South now per space weather

Nice sunset though, oh well if that bZ flips maybe I’ll head out too.

Is spaceweatherlive the best site for tracking the CME in real time?

Is tonight's supposed to be a little stronger? I might try to head over to Rock Creek Park where at least it's not sooooo bright. Perhaps on the golf course I could find a spot with a view of the northern sky.

The blue sky snow is a weird phenomenon! I see it on the drive to and from Canaan valley during upslope as well. Usually around like 1/2 way to the hill to the ridge.

I can see it through my phone on 10 second exposure now in takoma park with tons of light pollution.

Pictures from Maryland and Illinois on Twitter.

BZ says -50 on space weather?!? Is that right?

Melissa looks so incredibly mean on the satellite…..hope it doesn’t totally destroy the island.