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SomeguyfromTakomaPark

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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark

  1. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Newest HRRR looks nice to me, heaviest banding right through nyc metro.
  2. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    NAM still a little too bouncy, other models been steadier. I like the HRRR + globals combo until the NAM settles in to something for 2 runs in a row.
  3. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Steady as she goes, very nice qpf again. If we can eek out 0.6-0.8 qpf gonna be some 8-12 inches totals me think.
  4. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I’m taking the HRRR + globals when the NAM is on its own like this.
  5. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    6Z euro is a great run for nyc metro
  6. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    That’s nice beefy qpf, thought that was a kuchera map at first.
  7. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Soundings around HPN look really good during the late evening, should be decent ratios.
  8. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Great map, I think this argues for 4-8 or 6-10 or the lower Hudson valley and 3-6 for nyc.
  9. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Fantastic, been very steady. Breathing room on all sides for ny metro. Hopefully it’s right!
  10. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    ICON coming in relatively unchanged. Still favors NY and points N and W.
  11. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    lol 14 inches for Baltimore! Need to find what this model is smoking.
  12. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Id probably bump the totals up in the lower Hudson valley and sw ct, euro and gfs both indicate more there. Also not so confident about central jersey getting 6 inches here.
  13. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Euro supports warning level snow for basically all of the metro area, cold temps at onset you’d think you could get some decent ratios.
  14. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Looks really good for ny metro.
  15. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I don’t think Boxing Day will be for us but I do like seeing the big warmth not materialize.
  16. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Nice mammatus clouds right now
  17. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Went for a run it’s really freezing up in a hurry. Almost like a mini flash freeze in progress.
  18. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I’m gonna have to play hooky I think Tuesday and head up there. Would go tomorrow but I’m taking someone from a warm climate for the first time and tomorrow isn’t the day for intro to West Virginia skiing with a high in the teens and winds up to 35 mph.
  19. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Nice 1-2 inches out here. Looks pretty and snowing lightly still. Makes the arctic air today more fun!!
  20. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Hrrr finally in its useful range and looks good for us to get some accumulations. Wish this was happening at 7am instead of 3 cause im tired but oh well hopefully wake up to white.
  21. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Agree with LWX and wouldn’t make any big changes based on HRRR, it is very jumpy outside of 12-15 hours. I think Baltimore to NE Maryland to S Jersey for this one to jackpot is more likely than northern tier.
  22. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    It’s actually pretty cool to look at snowfall maps on this scale now that you’ve posted, it gives you a sense of how narrow these systems are on a global scale and therefore how hard it is for models to pin down small bands of heavy snow.
  23. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    The 6Z reggie is a shellacking. I’ve been burned so many times believing that model lol but I’m gonna do it again.
  24. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    The thing with this event is it’s really quick hitting, a few hours of snow. We’re gonna need it to not be 35 degrees at the onset because by the time it cools it’ll be over.
  25. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    This isn’t bad really. We likely see some snow here at least. Some lucky guy in Delaware gets 3 inches and I get 1, who cares.
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