I dunno man euro op has been really good this winter IMO. And the big players have already taken the field at 120 and our storm is well on its way to forming. Not saying we can’t get a big rug pull, but I feel pretty good seeing that 6Z euro run.
It just seems like another piece of guidance, I think with our snow events this year the euro has definitely done better than the AI especially the closer in we get. I haven’t seen a pattern of the op trending towards it or anything like that. If anything I think it’s the reverse.
This looks really good and remarkably cold for mid/late February. In 48 hours if it hasn't gone poof I will legit get excited. It's crazy we're already tracking again just a day after our last event.
What I really like about this is that we have deep cold present at the start, won't be fretting start temps/start time/sun angle as much if we're in the low to mid 20s.
Looking like solid agreement from euro, cmc, gfs for a week out. All give dc accumulating snow. You love to see it let’s back into another moderate event.
I like seeing a storm in the window. Op evolution basically meaningless at this range. Even the ensembles in unanimous agreement about yesterday’s event from 7 days out missed it.