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SomeguyfromTakomaPark

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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark

  1. 2 more weeks til we can punt February and start talking about shorts and 70 degree days
  2. Wow radar is beautiful, would’ve been a heck of a thump of snow.
  3. Moderate to borderline heavy rain and 35 degrees
  4. Gfs run sucks, oh well. It’s almost time to switch into cherry blossom mode anyway.
  5. Oh nice —> that can be a rough car ride from here. Was just up that way to visit family for new years. Enjoy.
  6. Pretty nice squall line on the 3k nam for us tomorrow, maybe some thunder.
  7. This has turned into a poconos,Catskills berkshires, southern green mountains event…which makes sense given the fact that there is no cold air. Oh well!
  8. And now the punting of 2 week sections of January begins. GFS is a parade of rainers and ends its run at like 70 degrees in the mid Atlantic.
  9. Not really! Look at our big storms and check the temperature of cities north and west of us. Saturday morning is barely below freezing in Chicago Detroit buffalo and saranac lake. It’s just not cold enough.
  10. Good thing we'll have a miller B screwjob to track for MLK! Rain for us and a foot for NYC to Boston!
  11. Bad run but it's not the least bit surprising, there is no cold air available so it makes sense that this is a situation for central PA and the catskills to jackpot in. Saturday morning temps are gonna be like 30 degrees in Pittsburgh, if it's barely below freezing that far NW of here you know the depth of the cold isn't going to be sufficient for us.
  12. GFS run is active and interesting once we get past next weeks rainer. MLK potential and then clippers.
  13. 320 feet in Takoma Park but I don't think it will help on this one unless as you noted we get a more southeast track. Anything marginal in the last 5+ years has been rain for us if I am remembering correctly.
  14. It really sucks —> a low pressure off Virginia Beach in January should be a snowstorm for us.
  15. Just another perfect track low pressure rainstorm during our peak climo and minimum sun angle.
  16. The thing is we’re not really “a shift away”. There is no deep cold air. The best model runs had the metros at 34-35. Too warm. Next.
  17. We can debate all we want about the specifics but at the end of the day it’s just not cold enough to snow anymore. Sometimes it’s an inland track sometimes it’s a storm that’s too weak etc etc. we don’t spend enough time below freezing anymore to get snow, it’s that simple.
  18. It’s just too warm, no actual cold air to be found when the storm arrives. Story of every storm.
  19. This would be a great start to the season. 2-5 inches in the metro would be fantastic.
  20. So whats the best case scenario in the immediate metro? It looks like temps never get below 34-35 on most guidance in the cities. Paste bomb?
  21. This has 37 degrees and rain written all over it for immediate dc area.
  22. Haven’t followed closely since about a week to ten days ago. At that point we were looking at a transition to a good pattern around new years. Is that off the table? Can some give me a quick tldr on where we’re at? Muchas gracias.
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