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SomeguyfromTakomaPark

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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark

  1. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    This isn't unusual at all. It is much more unusual for there to be great model consensus at 120+ hours. Usually it's under 84 hours where they really converge and 48-72 where you can feel reasonably confident if you're in the bullseye. The axis of heavy snow isn't much more than 100 miles wide with these waves so it's quite hard to pin point. I like where we're at though. I think there is a good chance for what LWX calls a "plowable snow" through the metros.
  2. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Hopefully it’s on to something because the other models have a parade of rainers after Tuesday.
  3. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    LOL at someone saying this dry…absolute firehose outta the gulf.
  4. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    People that don’t want 6 inches of snow are nuts lol. This is dc. We sometimes go years between 6 inch storms.
  5. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Yo that rules. Stripes us. Let’s go.
  6. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    GEFS looks good, similar to 6Z. UK looks decent, 3-5 of snow then over to sleet. Confidence that we get something is increasing.
  7. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    It would also be a lot less fun if we didn’t go nuts over run like this. But yeah we know what the true odds are. I will say though that I think the chance for accumulating snow in dc metro is decent.
  8. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Euro not too far off, 6Z run got us 6 inches.
  9. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Oh wow nice run, we might snag this one yet!!!
  10. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    lol this model is gonna do it again to me, string me along…
  11. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    It still likes the Tuesday threat I see, that's like the ICON/UKIE. Hopefully the GFS is on its own with breaking that threat down.
  12. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Still a lot of waves to figure out before that one....but the potential for numerous frozen events next week is my takeaway.
  13. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    1041 High Pressure over Quebec in a decent spot at the start...
  14. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Agree, really didn't want to see everything trend toward the 0z Euro.
  15. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Round 1 looks squashed south a bit from 6z. Let's see what round 2 does.
  16. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    ICON ensembles look good, seems like they support keeping us on the good side of the boundary based on the available maps on Pivotal. Looks like about 1 inch QPF of frozen.
  17. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    ICON looks like its headed towards a F.....O.....
  18. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    ICON very different from the GFS....not good agreement by the ops yet even out to 120 so confidence remains low.
  19. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    The 0z euro gave us snow but then changed us over to rain for the stronger of the waves instead of the 12z/18z runs yesterday that kept us right on the good side of the boundary for all of it. Everything still on the table IMO
  20. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Hopefully it’s right this time!!!
  21. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    We got very burned in DC riding the AI on the last event which had like a zillion runs in a row showing a snowstorm for us. The warmer/north models slapped it around.
  22. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    That’s pretty good, I’ll take frozen over heavy rain and 33.
  23. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    All eggs are in this basket there is no turning back now lololol
  24. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Looks like the good stuff is same time frame as the euro.
  25. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Wow that is quite the signal for a week out. Pretty hard to not like this threat a lot with looks like that.
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