SomeguyfromTakomaPark
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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark
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Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Ah thanks, I was looking at the 90 hour frame but yeah huge differences before that and how they arrive at their solutions. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yes, the school of musical traditions which is now it's own building. My kids play bluegrass , and I do too! Bevco is great, the food is always on point. And the UK shifted a lot from its 00z run, looks better at 500mb. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
You rang . I'll be in downtown TP tonight because my kids have music lessons there, maybe I'll stop by! -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
I need a met to explain how the CMC and GFS look so similar at 500mb 90 hours but have such vastly different surface outcomes. All the people saying "small changes" are right I think. The position and orientation of the trough at 500 mb are almost the same. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
The CMC and GFS aren't that different at 500 mb at 90 hours. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
If this ends up being nothing (likely) I feel like there really will be no point in ever looking at this model again. If it shows a BECS in NAM range and then loses it 6 hours later why would I ever even consider using it. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
We will be cursing it in 6 hours when it shows sprinkles and 37 degrees. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Man, for once in it's goddamn existence can this model be right?!!!???! -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
This is true but most people as far as I can tell just gobble up whatever garbage social media algos feed them....that's why I just stay off social media for the most part. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Because the algorithms aren't programmed (or programming themselves) to show people accurate information. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
The algorithm knows people like sensational weather maps. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah I feel like Norluns are not something you can count on. What's interesting to me is that the Euro AI is just on the verge of blurring the norlun and more direct coastal influence, makes me think we can't rule out a closer coastal yet. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Hahaha yes! Except Last year it was the eps teasing us at this range. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
If that happens it’s on to baseball and cherry blossom! -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Euro has sprinkles, gfs has a blizzard, ai light to moderate event. Hmmmm -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
6:30 am -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Did anything else trend better overnight? Looks like the ai euro did. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
AI euro more of the inverted trough look with main coastal long gone. Nothing like GFS. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Meanwhile the AI gfs says enjoy your weak inverted trough. -
Still not totally dead but I'm starting to be ready for spring! 90% reaped. We need the reaper back @WxWatcher007
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Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Anyone got the 12z weathernext? -
Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
I guess back to 0z Monday it was showing the big dog, but I think all yesterday it was fairly consistent. Def more consistent than everything else that's for sure. -
Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
This is what I'm saying! It hasn't really changed much, it's changing the QPF but it never shit the bed totally and went dry or just IVT.... -
Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
The Euro AI! It has shown snow for us many runs in a row now. -
Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
I was talking about the Euro AI which has continuously showed snow for us for many runs in a row now.
