SomeguyfromTakomaPark
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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark
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Agree, you can “open up” all you want but if you do it incorrectly and people turn on the news and see their local hospital flooded with dying covid patients the economy isn’t going to be in great shape.
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I don’t know that you’re allowing enough time to see the trends. People will take time to slowly come out, it’s not like everyone in Georgia is going to a restaurant on Monday. My guess is trends would evident more on the 6-8+ week time frame.
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I saw a virologist on twitter saying herd immunity could be 60%, but that might be a moot point cause the virus would likely overshoot the % needed for herd immunity.
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I would take the over on that even if we were maintaining lockdowns everywhere.
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Yeah, backed by the numbers you made up. Here are some numbers from an actual scientist.
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A little early Friday morning trolling i see. It’s getting old though, you’re going to have to change it up a bit, keep it fresh.
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Oh ok, so I guess that’s you’re observation at one course, not sure it scales to all golfers in the state but didn’t realize people were still golfing.
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in case anyone needed more convincing that covid is not the flu
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Agree, golf courses have been closed so who is say how golfers would act if courses reopened and they were expected to practice social distancing. I imagine they would be just fine with it.
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Worldometer seems to update in real time as the states report.
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If you add up the confirmed deaths which are around 15k and the probable deaths, which are around 5k, it ends up being over 20k.
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Yes it’s bad news if you were hoping for herd immunity to be viable. Gonna be weird when 20% of nyc doesn’t have to social distance. There will be 2 classes of people.
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Yeah golf is low hanging fruit and popular enough it’ll do a lot for peoples morale to be able to get back on the course. It’s certainly no worse of a risk than people walking/running/biking on trails
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And even worse that was only on ~ 3,500 tests so % positive increased a little, 27%.
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I was just using the term lockdown as a blanket since I was referring to some countries that did actual lockdowns and some countries like ours did "almost lockdowns". IMO the words actually in this case truly don't matter.
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I'm talking about school closures, stay at home, restaurants closed, etc.
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Just look at the case counts before/after lockdowns in any state or country. There Is exponential growth until the lockdown. It’s very obvious.
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And that's assuming we can test, contact trace, and isolate. Without that things will be even less normal.
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here’s a good thread on the next couple of years. Basically the summary is we need to copy Taiwan/Singapore/South Korea.
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The IHME thinks we’ll have a precipitous drop in deaths. Doesn’t seem realistic based on what’s happened in Europe. The MIT line looks more realistic. The two shades of grey are the reported deaths, the lighter shade includes probable deaths in nyc.
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If all this “open up now” energy could be redirected to “open up smart” and push for a national plan of testing and contact tracing it would work out a lot better for public health and the economy.
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smh....offering up her citizens in a potentially deadly science experiment
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It’s not relevant. Some other bad thing that happens doesn’t make the current bad thing that’s happening any better. It’s just another form of whataboutism.
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He doesn’t. There’s been a few people in here pushing the flu = covid fantasy for a while now. Not sure what they’re trying to accomplish.
